Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Desna Chernihiv		Mariupol

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.1	4.75
	1.66	3.6	4.35
	1.62	3.7	4.4
	1.63	4.1	5.25
	1.63	3.9	4.8
	1.61	4.05	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)	3.91 ↑ (3.8)	4.75 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desna Chernihiv
56.9%

Draw
23.7%

Mariupol
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.4%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desna Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desna Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desna Chernihiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariupol than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Desna Chernihiv - Mariupol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Desna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mariupol is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Desna is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Desna won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Desna won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desna Chernihiv
Ukrainian Premier League
27.11.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Desna Chernihiv	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Desna Chernihiv - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Lviv - Desna Chernihiv	0:2 ✺
30.10.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	4:1 ✺
22.10.21	Desna Chernihiv - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLT
- FC Mariupol
Ukrainian Premier League
26.11.21	Mariupol - Lviv	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Vorskla Poltava - Mariupol	5:1 ✺
06.11.21	Mynai - Mariupol	0:2 ✺
30.10.21	Mariupol - Dynamo Kyiv	2:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
27.10.21	Mariupol - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
01.08.21	Mariupol - Desna Chernihiv	1:2
09.05.21	Mariupol - Desna Chernihiv	4:1
13.12.20	Desna Chernihiv - Mariupol	2:0
29.02.20	Desna Chernihiv - Mariupol	4:0
29.09.19	Mariupol - Desna Chernihiv	0:4
27.10.18	Desna Chernihiv - Mariupol	2:0
29.07.18	Mariupol - Desna Chernihiv	1:4

Desna Chernihiv - Mariupol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide