Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Chornomorets Odesa		Desna Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.3	2.37
	2.75	3.35	2.3
	2.85	3.2	2.24
	2.9	3.5	2.42
	2.8	3.25	2.4
	2.8	3.46	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.44)	3.34 ↓ (3.54)	2.35 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
32.8%

Draw
27.7%

Desna Chernihiv
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26.9%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

18.1%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chornomorets Odesa's performance.

Desna Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desna Chernihiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chornomorets Odesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desna Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desna Chernihiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chornomorets Odesa - Desna Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Desna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Chornomorets have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Chornomorets won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Chornomorets won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Premier League
19.11.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Dynamo Kyiv	1:6 ✺
06.11.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Rukh Lviv	4:3 ✺
01.11.21	Vorskla Poltava - Chornomorets Odesa	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
27.10.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
23.10.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Lviv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTLT
- Desna Chernihiv
Ukrainian Premier League
21.11.21	Desna Chernihiv - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Lviv - Desna Chernihiv	0:2 ✺
30.10.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	4:1 ✺
22.10.21	Desna Chernihiv - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Mynai - Desna Chernihiv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
25.07.21	Desna Chernihiv - Chornomorets Odesa	3:0
Club Friendly
15.07.19	Chornomorets Odesa - Desna Chernihiv	0:0
Ukrainian Premier League
29.05.19	Chornomorets Odesa - Desna Chernihiv	3:0
05.05.19	Desna Chernihiv - Chornomorets Odesa	2:4
10.11.18	Desna Chernihiv - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0
12.08.18	Chornomorets Odesa - Desna Chernihiv	1:0

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