Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Inhulets		Feniks-Mariupol

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.25
	1.55	3.8	5.3
	1.48	3.81	5.87
	1.82	3.44	3.94	Watch
	1.55	4.03	5.68
	1.53	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.02)	3.74 ↑ (3.45)	5.21 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inhulets
58%

Draw
24.4%

Feniks-Mariupol
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

26.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inhulets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inhulets's performance.

Feniks-Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Feniks-Mariupol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inhulets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Feniks-Mariupol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Inhulets - Feniks Mariupol Predictions

Users Predictions: Inhulets will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inhulets will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zhylkin A. (G) 21. Benediuk A. 4. Dubilei V. 3. Dykhtyaruk O. 7. Faraseyenko V. 42. Gadzhuk I. 77. Kasimov D. 9. Kyslenko S. 2. Malysh S. (C) 88. Svystun Vadymovych K. 20. Volokhatyi R.	1. Zhupanskyi V. (G) 14. Bilyi R. 90. Bogdanov A. (C) 10. Gagun R. 44. Koreshkov V. 84. Kusyi A. 8. Panchyshyn O. 16. Radchenko M. 29. Remenyak A. 33. Sydorenko V. 17. Yanchak V.
Substitutes
55. Dzen M. 14. Melenchuk A. 59. Mogylnyi B. 8. Pyatov O. 91. Ryazantsev Y. 10. Sad V. 44. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 87. Skorokhod M. 24. Slutskyi O. (G) 69. Yanovich Y. 78. Yevtushenko O.	77. Kovalyuk R. 66. Melnyk O. 7. Nepeypiev R. 9. Nych N. 32. Petko S. 15. Revakovych R. 13. Rogachov N. 21. Tkachuk A. 19. Vilkhovyi A. 55. Zadereyko A. (G) 91. Zaloga M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Koreshkov V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Koreshkov V. ↓, Melnyk O. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Svystun Vadymovych K. ⚽,
76', Gagun R. 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Feniks-Mariupol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Inhulets is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Inhulets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Inhulets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Inhulets - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	4:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.09.25	Inhulets - Chornomorets Odesa	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	UCSA - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Inhulets - Vorskla Poltava	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLTW
- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.09.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2:3 ✺
21.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
18.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
11.09.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Feniks-Mariupol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
28.10.23	Inhulets - Feniks-Mariupol	0:1
28.08.23	Feniks-Mariupol - Inhulets	1:1

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