Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Inhulets (Petrove)

Referee: Kalonov O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Inhulets		Oleksandriya

	1	X	2
	13	5	1.27
	12	4.8	1.29
	13.04	4.88	1.28
	12.66	5.25	1.26	Watch
	12	4.8	1.29
	13.5	5.15	1.31	Watch
	12	4.8	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.6 ↑ (7.15)	4.95 ↓ (5.33)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inhulets
7.5%

Draw
19%

Oleksandriya
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

17.5%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

16.7%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inhulets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inhulets's form might have worsened.

Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Inhulets - Oleksandriya Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oleksandriya will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 88. Svystun Vadymovych K. 3. Dykhtyaruk O. 44. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 17. Katrych V. 6. Losenko I. 7. Faraseyenko V. 20. Volokhatyi R. 8. Pyatov O. 59. Mogylnyi B. 9. Pushkaryov O.	44. Yermakov G. (G) 22. Skorko D. 26. Ferreira M. 31. Shabanov A. 16. Ndicka Matam T. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. 59. Kozak A. 19. Shepelev V. 55. Smyrnyi Y. 27. Cara T. 6. Kovalets K.
Substitutes
21. Benediuk A. 11. Chaban V. 4. Dubilei V. 55. Dzen M. 42. Gadzhuk I. 99. Kyslenko S. 19. Lisnyak R. 2. Malysh S. 14. Melenchuk A. 10. Sad V. 87. Skorokhod M. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)	21. Belyaev O. 8. Buletsa S. 99. Galoyan S. 30. Kopyna Y. 4. Kravchenko M. 10. Kulakov A. 18. Loginov S. 72. Makarenko N. (G) 24. Martynyuk O. 15. Myshnyov D. 71. Shostak D. 20. Vashchenko D.
Coaches
Kobin V.	Rotan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Cara T. ⚽,
42', Ferreira M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ndicka Matam T. ↓, Martynyuk O. ↑,
47', Faraseyenko V. 🟨,
55', Katrych V. 🟨,
59', Mogylnyi B. ↓, Sad V. ↑,
59', Svystun Vadymovych K. ↓, Benediuk A. ↑,
60', Smyrnyi Y. ↓, Myshnyov D. ↑,
68', Katrych V. ↓, Chaban V. ↑,
68', Pyatov O. ↓, Gadzhuk I. ↑,
71', Kozak A. 🟨,
75', Dykhtyaruk O. 🟨,
75', Skorko D. ↓, Kravchenko M. ↑,
75', Cara T. ↓, Belyaev O. ↑,
81', Faraseyenko V. ↓, Kyslenko S. ↑,
82', Kovalets K. ↓, Kulakov A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inhulets won 1.

Recent matches Inhulets is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oleksandriya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Inhulets have a series of home games.

In this match Oleksandriya is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Inhulets won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:13 (average 1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Inhulets won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Premier League
20.04.25	Inhulets - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
14.04.25	Inhulets - Karpaty Lviv	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Inhulets - Obolon	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Inhulets - Veres Rivne	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Inhulets - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLLTW
- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
18.04.25	Vorskla Poltava - Oleksandriya	1:3 ✺
12.04.25	Rukh Lviv - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Oleksandriya - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
02.04.25	Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ET ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
29.03.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Oleksandriya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
26.10.24	Oleksandriya - Inhulets	2:1
24.04.23	Oleksandriya - Inhulets	0:0
25.08.22	Inhulets - Oleksandriya	1:2
10.09.21	Oleksandriya - Inhulets	1:0
21.03.21	Inhulets - Oleksandriya	1:0
18.10.20	Oleksandriya - Inhulets	4:3
Ukrainian Cup
30.09.20	Oleksandriya - Inhulets	4:1

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