Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Premiership - Relegation - Final

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry)


	Institute FC		Ballymena United

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.6	2.05
	3	3.75	2.1
	3.23	3.8	2.02
	3.1	3.7	2
	3.19	3.69	2.01
	3.05	3.7	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (3)	3.71 ↑ (3.55)	2.04 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Institute FC
29.9%

Draw
24.9%

Ballymena United
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

25.9%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Institute FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Institute FC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Ballymena United aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Institute FC - Ballymena United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ballymena United will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Doherty F. (G) 16. Carlin S. 18. Devlin O. 11. Dunne J. 17. Harris M. 14. King D. 3. Lafferty D. 4. Leppard S. 8. Mullan L. 2. Porter C. 22. Quigley C.	1. O'Neill S. (G) 35. Barr B. 28. Boyle D. 29. Brown S. 7. Gawne A. 39. Mccallion D. 11. McCullough S. 36. McCurry C. 33. Stewart N. 16. Taylor F. 5. Whiteside S. (C)
Substitutes
. Boyle S. . Burke C. . McGinty S. . McKinney T. 34. McLaughlin O. 21. Muldoon G. (G) . Tweed E.	41. Hood J. 26. Johnston S. (G) 32. McAuley S. 17. McGrory A. 27. McMurray J. 30. Place M. 4. Rocks D.
Coaches
Deery K.	Ervin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Lafferty D. ⚽,
60', Taylor F. 🟨,
61', Barr B. ↓, Rocks D. ↑,
64', Gawne A. 🟨,
78', Gawne A. ↓, Place M. ↑,
83', McCurry C. ↓, McMurray J. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Institute won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Institute could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ballymena United will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Institute won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Institute won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Institute FC
Northern Irish Championship
26.04.24	Portadown - Institute FC	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Institute FC - Bangor	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Institute FC - Annagh United	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Dundela - Institute FC	3:4 ✺
02.04.24	Institute FC - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLWT
- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership
27.04.24	Dungannon Swifts - Ballymena United	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Ballymena United - Newry City	4:0 ✺
16.04.24	Ballymena United - Glenavon	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Carrick Rangers - Ballymena United	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Loughgall - Ballymena United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
23.11.19	Ballymena United - Institute FC	1:1
05.10.19	Institute FC - Ballymena United	1:1
19.03.19	Ballymena United - Institute FC	6:1
09.02.19	Institute FC - Ballymena United	1:2
13.10.18	Institute FC - Ballymena United	1:2
11.04.15	Institute FC - Ballymena United	1:2
14.02.15	Ballymena United - Institute FC	3:0

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