Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 35

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ballymena Showgrounds (Ballymena)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Ballymena United		Glenavon

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	3.95
	1.87	3.74	4
	1.81	3.64	3.84	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.8
	1.78	3.48	3.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	3.55 ↑ (3.53)	3.92 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballymena United
50.5%

Draw
26%

Glenavon
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

25.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Ballymena United - Glenavon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ballymena United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ballymena United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Wade B. (G) 16. Clarke M. 31. Corbally K. 22. Edogun S. 25. Mccallion D. 21. McGeouch D. 15. O'Donnell S. 4. Rocks D. 12. Rutkowski I. 28. Sule F. 5. Toure D.	1. Carney J. (G) 3. Burns P. 28. Falls C. 18. Ferris N. 17. Lowe K. 36. McGerrigan L. 29. McGovern P. 6. McKeown B. (C) 2. McMullan J. 32. Mountney J. 14. O'Kane O.
Substitutes
23. Breen D. (G) 18. Ebbe D. 8. Jarvis A. 19. McCurry C. 10. McEleney P. 24. McEleney S. 17. O’Reilly J.	13. Byrne M. (G) 27. Carlin S. 23. Gilmore G. 24. Harkin M. 30. Lindsay C. 31. Quinn N. 20. Wilson B.
Coaches
Kearney O.	O'Connor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Edogun S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Falls C. ⚽,
56', McGeouch D. 🟨,
61', Rocks D. ↓, McCurry C. ↑,
63', McGerrigan L. ↓, Carlin S. ↑,
68', Lowe K. ↓, Lindsay C. ↑,
72', Corbally K. ↓, McEleney P. ↑,
72', McGeouch D. ↓, Ebbe D. ↑,
72', Ebbe D. 🟨,
77', O'Kane O. ↓, Harkin M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ballymena United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ballymena United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ballymena United won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Ballymena: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ballymena	9	3	3	3	13:11	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Glenavon - the odds 3.88 are the expected chance of winning is 23.7%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership
21.03.26	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Ballymena United - Carrick Rangers	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Ballymena United - Larne	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Ballymena United - Glenavon	2:2 ✺
20.02.26	Coleraine - Ballymena United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLTL
- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
04.04.26	Glenavon - Portadown	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Glenavon - Larne	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Crusaders - Glenavon	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Glenavon - Portadown	3:0 ✺
24.02.26	Ballymena United - Glenavon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
24.02.26	Ballymena United - Glenavon	2:2
29.11.25	Glenavon - Ballymena United	3:1
09.08.25	Glenavon - Ballymena United	0:2
19.04.25	Glenavon - Ballymena United	2:0
30.12.24	Ballymena United - Glenavon	0:2
12.10.24	Glenavon - Ballymena United	0:1
30.08.24	Ballymena United - Glenavon	3:1

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