Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Premiership - Round 33

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Lakeview Park (Loughgall)

Referee: Clarke T. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Loughgall		Ballymena United

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.85
	3.9	3.55	1.84
	4.07	3.54	1.84
	4.13	3.63	1.83	Watch
	4	3.4	1.83
	4.12	3.6	1.78
	3.9	3.55	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (4.18)	3.54 ↓ (3.75)	1.83 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loughgall
23.3%

Draw
26.2%

Ballymena United
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.7%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

24.1%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loughgall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ballymena United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Loughgall - Ballymena United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gartside N. (G) 18. Balde A. 19. Francis L. 13. Gibson J. 21. Magee B. 20. Mahon R. 4. Murdock B. 12. Norton R. 7. Pablo Andrade 27. Towe A. 8. Waide R.	1. O'Neill S. (G) 42. Carson J. 31. Corbally K. 22. Edogun S. 8. Jarvis A. 9. Kennedy B. 3. Lafferty D. 25. Mccallion D. 28. McEleney P. 18. McMullan J. 15. O'Donnell S.
Substitutes
47. Da Silva Guterres O. 33. Kelly D. 30. McCaffrey F. 32. McLaughlin K. 16. McMenemy L. 17. O'Brien M. 1. Turker B. (G)	29. Devine E. 30. Hawe L. 41. Hood J. 26. Johnston S. (G) 23. Loughran C. 19. McCurry C. 11. Moore J.
Coaches
Johnstone D.	Ervin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Magee B. ⚽,
28', Mccallion D. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Lafferty D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Jarvis A. ↓, Hood J. ↑,
63', Pablo Andrade 🟨,
66', Towe A. 🟨,
69', Mahon R. ↓, McLaughlin K. ↑,
72', Hood J. 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, McCaffrey F. ⚽,
79', Mccallion D. ↓, Hawe L. ↑,
79', Edogun S. ↓, McCurry C. ↑,
85', O'Neill S. 🟨,
89', McMullan J. ↓, Devine E. ↑,

Preview

Loughgall is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Loughgall won 2.

Loughgall has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ballymena United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Loughgall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ballymena United is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Loughgall won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:15 (average 2:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Loughgall won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Premiership
15.03.25	Crusaders - Loughgall	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Loughgall - Larne	0:1 ✺
04.03.25	Loughgall - Glenavon	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.03.25	Ards - Loughgall	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
26.02.25	Loughgall - Larne	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLL
- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership
15.03.25	Ballymena United - Cliftonville	1:0 ✺
11.03.25	Ballymena United - Larne	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Dungannon Swifts - Ballymena United	0:3 ✺
04.03.25	Glentoran - Ballymena United	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Ballymena United - Portadown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
21.12.24	Loughgall - Ballymena United	2:3
05.10.24	Ballymena United - Loughgall	4:1
06.04.24	Loughgall - Ballymena United	2:3
27.01.24	Ballymena United - Loughgall	0:1
04.11.23	Loughgall - Ballymena United	5:2
16.09.23	Ballymena United - Loughgall	1:3
Northern Irish Cup
08.01.22	Ballymena United - Loughgall	2:0

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