Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)


	Inter Bogotá		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.30	2.63	Watch
	2.50	3.10	2.60
	2.90	3.35	2.35
	2.65	3.16	2.73
	2.59	3.33	2.6	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.65
	2.61	3.08	2.69
	2.55	3.10	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.61)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)	2.61 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Bogotá
35.3%

Draw
29.1%

Independiente Medellín
35.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Bogotá than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Inter Bogotá - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Postponed due to safety reasons.

In recent matches, Inter Bogotá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ind Medellín is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ind Medellín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Inter Bogotá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Inter Bogotá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ind. Medellin	14	7	2	5	21:19	2	23

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Ind. Medellin: 8.9%

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Medellín - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.33%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Bogotá
Colombian Primera A
20.10.26	Inter Bogotá - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
15.10.26	Inter Bogotá - Llaneros SA	4:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
10.10.26	Junior Barranquilla - Inter Bogotá	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Inter Bogotá - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Deportivo Pereira - Inter Bogotá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTTT
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
17.10.26	Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
14.10.26	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	3:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
11.10.26	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
06.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Inter Bogotá	1:2

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