Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Referee: Marquez C. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2


	Inter Bogotá		Fortaleza CEIF

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	3.50	Watch
	2.10	3.20	3.20
	2.23	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.20	3.35	3.49
	2.34	3.34	2.97	Watch
	2.30	3.40	2.95
	2.23	3.23	3.54	Watch
	2.11	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.84)	3.28 ↓ (3.48)	3.28 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Bogotá
42.6%

Draw
28.7%

Fortaleza CEIF
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.8%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

25.7%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Bogotá's form might have worsened.

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza CEIF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Bogotá than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Bogotá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Inter Bogotá - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Inter Bogotá will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farinez W. (G) 20. Castro J. 2. Vivas C. 26. Irazoque A. 25. Julio R. 8. Victoria Palacios D. S. 5. Vasquez L. (C) 13. Pernia M. 10. Bone F. 7. Sanguinetti F. 11. Dajome C.	1. Barlasina W. (G) 16. Cajares J. 6. Diaz Y. 5. Medina Obando J. 15. Cuero S. 14. Pico L. (C) 28. Vivas S. 7. Montano I. 8. Navarro S. 24. Salas J. 9. Herrera J.
Substitutes
6. Angel Amaya Pena M. 23. Caballero J. 12. Carrasco J. (G) 17. Chaverra F. 9. Duarte D. 22. Girado S. 24. Manjarres R. 32. Palomeque J. 14. Santamaria M.	22. Barragan M. (G) 4. Cabezas E. 25. Garcia J. 33. Larrans A. 13. Mejia B. 19. Pulicastro F. 3. Ramirez D. 32. Vazquez M. 10. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Valino R.	Arias D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Julio R. ⚽, Dajome C. (A),
45', Herrera J. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Navarro S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Montano I. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,
59', Pico L. 🟨,
64', Dajome C. ↓, Caballero J. ↑,
67', Pico L. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
69', Vasquez L. 🟨,
70', Julio R. ↓, Angel Amaya Pena M. ↑,
70', Bone F. ↓, Manjarres R. ↑,
70', Cuero S. 🟨,
70', Vasquez L. 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Pulicastro F. ⚽, Navarro S. (A),
75', Cajares J. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
77', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Victoria Palacios D. S. ⚽,
85', Salas J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
85', Cuero S. ↓, Larrans A. ↑,
90+11', 🟨,

Preview

In recent outings, Inter Bogotá has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Fortaleza is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Fortaleza could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Inter Bogotá holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Inter Bogotá has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Fortaleza	14	1	8	5	15:21	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Fortaleza CEIF - the odds 4.15 are the expected chance of winning is 22.48%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Bogotá
Colombian Copa
15.10.26	Inter Bogotá - Llaneros SA	4:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
10.10.26	Junior Barranquilla - Inter Bogotá	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Inter Bogotá - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Deportivo Pereira - Inter Bogotá	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Inter Bogotá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTTL
- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Copa
11.10.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF	3:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
08.10.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportes Tolima	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Junior Barranquilla	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
03.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Inter Bogotá	1:1

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