Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	América de Cali		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.50	4.10
	1.78	3.4	4.4
	1.81	3.55	4.65
	1.78	3.53	4.43	Watch
	1.74	3.45	4.45
	1.76	3.52	4.41
	1.85	3.35	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.7)	3.48 ↓ (3.75)	4.36 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Cali
52%

Draw
26.7%

Independiente Medellín
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

24.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

América de Cali - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 7th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 1.

América de Cali is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ind Medellín has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

América de Cali could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

América de Cali carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, América de Cali has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:28 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for América de Cali against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 13:14 goals (averaging 1.3:1.4 per game).

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

America De Cali: 19.67% Ind. Medellin: 8.74%

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	America De Cali	12	8	3	1	24:7	17	27
7	Ind. Medellin	12	6	2	4	19:16	3	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
04.10.26	Llaneros SA - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Deportes Tolima - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
09.09.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pereira	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTLW
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
05.10.26	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Independiente Medellín - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
30.03.26	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	2:1
01.12.25	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	1:1
27.11.25	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:1
13.11.25	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	3:0
19.06.25	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	1:1
31.05.25	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	1:1
25.05.25	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:0

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