Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	04:15	Sport TV
Colombia	20:15	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Russia	04:15	Viju+ Sport
South America	—	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	21:15	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2


	América de Cali		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	5.50	Watch
	1.58	3.80	5.00
	1.65	3.70	5.30	Watch
	1.63	3.85	5.67
	1.79	3.51	4.56	Watch
	1.61	3.80	5.60
	1.63	3.66	5.18	Watch
	1.58	3.85	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	5.28 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Cali
57.2%

Draw
25%

Independiente Medellín
17.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

24%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for América de Cali aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

América de Cali - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jean (G) 13. Castillo M. 24. Tovar C. 3. Rosero D. 14. Mina M. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 23. Quinones L. 10. Guzman Y. 88. Palacios J. 21. Angel T.	25. Chaux E. (G) 26. Mena Perea E. 39. Escorcia L. 5. Varela J. 18. Fabra F. 30. Palacios H. 16. Loboa H. 6. Moreno D. (C) 11. Yony Gonzalez 10. Catano D. 32. Lucumi C.
Substitutes
29. Amu C. 30. Bertel O. 36. Camacho Anchico J. A. 17. Lucumi J. 12. Montoya J. (G) 18. Quintero Y. 2. Torres M. 77. Tortolero E. 9. Valencia D.	24. Erazo N. 1. Ichazo S. (G) 34. Klinger K. 90. Larrosa E. 4. Mantilla K. 20. Montano J. 31. Moreno D. 14. Perlaza B. 19. Simarra A.
Coaches
Gonzalez D.	Perea L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Quinones L. ⚽, Guzman Y. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Escorcia L. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
37', Castillo M. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
42', Rosero D. 🟨,
45+2', Rosero D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Palacios J. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
50', (Penalty overturned),
52', Carrascal R. 🟨,
64', Loboa H. 🟨,
65', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Montano J. ↑,
69', Catano D. ↓, Klinger K. ↑,
69', Loboa H. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
72', Angel T. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
80', Montano J. 🟨,
80', Guzman Y. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Lucumi C. ⚽, Fabra F. (A),
85', Escorcia L. ↓, Mantilla K. ↑,
86', Lucumi C. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
87', Perlaza B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 7th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 1.

América de Cali is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ind Medellín has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

América de Cali could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to América de Cali for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, América de Cali has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:28 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for América de Cali against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 13:14 goals (averaging 1.3:1.4 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	America De Cali ✔	15	9	4	2	29:11	18	31
7	Ind. Medellin	15	7	2	6	22:21	1	23

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

America De Cali: 18.28% Ind. Medellin: 8.23%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
04.10.26	Llaneros SA - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Deportes Tolima - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
09.09.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pereira	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTLW
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
05.10.26	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Independiente Medellín - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
30.03.26	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	2:1
01.12.25	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	1:1
27.11.25	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:1
13.11.25	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	3:0
19.06.25	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	1:1
31.05.25	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	1:1
25.05.25	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:0

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