Match Info

USA: US OPEN CUP - FINAL

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: DRV PNK Stadium (Fort Lauderdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Eleven Sports
Malaysia	Astro
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Inter Miami		Houston Dynamo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.97	3.82	3.75
	1.83	3.5	3.4
	1.93	3.74	3.62	Watch
	1.91	3.55	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.54)	3.6 ↓ (4.4)	3.56 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

Watch this match and US Open Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Telemundo (KSIX/KHNLDT6 ‚Äì Honolulu, HI)

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Inter Miami
48.4%

Draw
25.6%

Houston Dynamo
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

21.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21.3%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Miami's form might have worsened.

Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Houston Dynamo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Inter Miami - Houston Dynamo Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Callender D. (G) 2. Yedlin D. (C) 27. Kryvtsov S. 31. Miller K. 32. Allen N. 30. Cremaschi B. 5. Busquets S. 8. Gomez D. 11. Farias F. 9. Campana L. 16. Taylor R.	13. Tarbell A. (G) 2. Escobar F. 28. Sviatchenko E. 31. Micael 25. Dorsey G. 20. Carrasquilla A. 16. Herrera H. (C) 6. Artur 8. Bassi A. 11. Baird C. 21. Quinones N.
Substitutes
3. Arroyo D. 6. Aviles T. 29. dos Santos C. J. (G) 17. Martinez J. 4. McVey C. 41. Ruiz D. 22. Stefanelli N.	27. Caicedo M. L. A. 12. Clark S. (G) 7. Franco I. 17. Hadebe T. 18. Ibrahim A. 3. Smith B. 5. Steres D.
Coaches
Martino G.	Olsen B.

Preview

Inter Miami is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Houston is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Houston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Inter Miami will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Inter Miami won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Inter Miami won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Miami
MLS
24.09.23	Orlando City - Inter Miami	1:1 ✺
20.09.23	Inter Miami - Toronto FC	4:0 ✺
16.09.23	Atlanta United - Inter Miami	5:2 ✺
09.09.23	Inter Miami - Sporting Kansas City	3:2 ✺
03.09.23	Los Angeles - Inter Miami	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLWW
- Houston Dynamo
MLS
23.09.23	Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo	2:1 ✺
20.09.23	Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps	4:1 ✺
16.09.23	Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo	0:0 ✺
30.08.23	Houston Dynamo - Columbus Crew	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.04.23	Houston Dynamo - Inter Miami	1:0
02.04.22	Inter Miami - Houston Dynamo	1:3
10.10.20	Inter Miami - Houston Dynamo	1:0

Upcoming Matches