The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Los Angeles Galaxy 42.9%
Draw 26.4%
Houston Dynamo 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
26%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
27.7%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Angeles Galaxy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
22.2%
22.2%
Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Houston will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 2. Yamane M. 5. Glesnes J. 15. Haak J. 14. Nelson J. 22. Wynder E. 6. Cerrillo E. 27. Thommy E. 11. Gabriel Pec 18. Reus M. (C) 28. Paintsil J.
31. Bond J. (G) 3. Antonio Carlos 6. Artur (C) 34. Resch A. 36. Felipe Andrade 8. McGlynn J. 16. Herrera H. 11. Ennali L. 19. Bogusz M. 20. Guilherme 9. Lingr O.
Substitutes
3. Aude J. 19. Cuevas M. 9. Matheus Nascimento 1. Micovic N. (G) 26. Miller H. 24. Ramos R. 8. Sanabria L. 49. Vanney D. 4. Yoshida M.
24. Aliyu I. 30. Bouzat A. 26. Gillingham B. (G) 14. Holmes D. 17. Markanich N. 21. Negri F. 10. Ponce E. 18. Samassekou D. 28. Sviatchenko E.
Coaches
Vanney G.
Olsen B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Bogusz M. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Paintsil J. ⚽, Yamane M. (A),
37', Paintsil J. 🟨,
38', Resch A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Guilherme ⚽, McGlynn J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Thommy E. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
57', Wynder E. ↓, Matheus Nascimento ↑,
57', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
66', Lingr O. ↓, Ponce E. ↑,
67', Yamane M. ↓, Cuevas M. ↑,
78', Herrera H. ↓, Bouzat A. ↑,
78', Artur ↓, Samassekou D. ↑,
79', Paintsil J. ↓, Miller H. ↑,
85', Guilherme ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 1.
LA Galaxy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Houston has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
LA Galaxy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
LA Galaxy might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in LA Galaxy: Garces C.
(Foot Injury)
Joao Klauss
(Foot Injury)
Puig R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Houston: Lucas Halter
(Lower-Body Injury)
Maurer J.
(Concussion)
Vines S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Aude J.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Houston: Samassekou D.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
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Marcinkowski J. (G) 
Yamane M. 
Glesnes J. 
Thommy E. 
Gabriel Pec 
Paintsil J. 
Bond J. (G) 
Resch A. 
Herrera H. 
Bogusz M. 
Lingr O. 
Micovic N. (G) 
Sanabria L. 
Aliyu I. 
Samassekou D. 
Sviatchenko E. 
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