Match Info

MLS

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Referee: Elfath I. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Houston Dynamo		Vancouver Whitecaps

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.81	Watch
	3.6	3.8	1.87
	3.95	3.7	1.9	Watch
	4.01	3.87	1.91
	3.93	3.74	1.88	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.85
	3.95	3.87	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.07)	3.75 ↓ (3.76)	1.88 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
24.6%

Draw
25.1%

Vancouver Whitecaps
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

25.1%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

25.5%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dynamo's form might have worsened.

Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vancouver Whitecaps's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vancouver Whitecaps, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vancouver: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Houston (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bond J. (G) 3. Antonio Carlos 6. Artur (C) 34. Resch A. 36. Felipe Andrade 8. McGlynn J. 18. Samassekou D. 11. Ennali L. 19. Bogusz M. 20. Guilherme 10. Ponce E.	1. Takaoka Y. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 33. Blackmon T. 2. Laborda M. 28. Johnson T. 16. Berhalter S. 8. Larraz O. 59. Badwal J. 13. Muller T. 17. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 24. White B.
Substitutes
24. Aliyu I. 30. Bouzat A. 26. Gillingham B. (G) 16. Herrera H. 14. Holmes D. 9. Lingr O. 17. Markanich N. 21. Negri F. 28. Sviatchenko E.	32. Boehmer I. (G) 14. Caicedo B. 20. Cubas A. 19. Elloumi R. 29. Gherasimencov M. 22. Jackson A. 97. MacKenzie L. 7. Sabaly C. 4. Veselinovic R.
Coaches
Olsen B.	Sorensen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 🟨,
34', Samassekou D. ↓, Bouzat A. ↑,
41', Larraz O. ↓, Cubas A. ↑,
45+12', Johnson T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Ocampo E. 🟨,
54', Resch A. 🟨,
62', Cubas A. 🟨,
64', Takaoka Y. 🟥,
67', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Boehmer I. ↑,
67', Johnson T. ↓, Gherasimencov M. ↑,
77', Ocampo E. ↓, Veselinovic R. ↑,
77', Muller T. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
85', Bogusz M. ↓, Lingr O. ↑,
85', Badwal J. ↓, Elloumi R. ↑,
85', McGlynn J. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 0, Guilherme ⚽, Artur (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.

In recent matches, Houston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vancouver is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vancouver might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Houston: Lucas Halter (Lower-Body Injury) Maurer J. (Concussion)

There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Muscle Injury) Gauld R. (Knee Injury) Halbouni B. (Knee Injury) Priso R. (Injury) Schonlau S. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Vancouver: Cubas A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Houston Dynamo - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.76%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Vancouver Whitecaps - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 44.13%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
MLS
13.05.26	Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo	1:4 ✺
02.05.26	Houston Dynamo - Colorado Rapids	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
29.04.26	Houston Dynamo - Louisville City	2:1 ET ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWL
- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
13.05.26	FC Dallas - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Colorado Rapids	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Sporting Kansas City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
17.08.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Houston Dynamo	1:1
16.07.25	Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:3
18.09.24	Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1
20.07.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - Houston Dynamo	3:4
20.09.23	Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps	4:1
31.05.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Houston Dynamo	6:2
05.08.22	Vancouver Whitecaps - Houston Dynamo	2:1

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