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Current Win Probability
Inter Palmira 67.3%
Draw 20.4%
Real Santander 12.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.8%
24.8%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
23.1%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Palmira's performance.
Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Santander might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Palmira than the current prediction. (-18.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Palmira that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Santander could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Mina A. (G) 2. Vasquez S. 4. Balcazar K. 5. Rubio J. 17. Tenorio K. 7. Ruiz J. 8. Ordonez A. 30. Araujo L. 13. Diaz Y. 18. Sanchez I. 9. Ceballos J.
12. Patino N. (G) 7. Cordoba M. 5. Gomez A. 4. Castillo L. (C) 14. Diaz H. 13. Cespedes A. 8. Rodriguez S. 26. Martinez M. 20. Mendivelso N. 11. Nino B. 10. Garcia S.
Substitutes
3. Carabali N. 1. Cortes Rodriguez K. D. (G) 10. Guzman M. 14. Ordonez T. 11. Prado E. 16. Ruiz D. 23. Ruiz Diaz A. M.
21. Becerra S. 15. Beltran D. 18. Cano D. 16. Castro P. 6. Cuellar M. 1. Saavedra M. (G) 19. Suarez K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Ceballos J. ⚽, Tenorio K. (A),
14', Mendivelso N. 🟨,
17', Tenorio K. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Mendivelso N. ⚽, Nino B. (A),
28', 2 - 1, Ceballos J. ⚽, Diaz Y. (A),
31', Castillo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ruiz J. ↓, Ordonez T. ↑,
65', Martinez M. ↓, Cuellar M. ↑,
65', Nino B. ↓, Castro P. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Castro P. ⚽, Mendivelso N. (A),
71', Sanchez I. ↓, Prado E. ↑,
73', Cespedes A. ↓, Becerra S. ↑,
88', Cordoba M. ↓, Suarez K. ↑,
88', Garcia S. ↓, Beltran D. ↑,
90+3', Ordonez T. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 2, Diaz Y. ⚽, Prado E. (A),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 12).
Inter Palmira is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Real Santander has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Inter Palmira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Inter Palmira is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Inter Palmira won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.