Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 23

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Inter Playa Del Carmen		Chapulineros de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.21	5.59	Watch
	1.54	4.16	5.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)	4.19 ↑ (4.15)	5.4 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Playa Del Carmen
60.9%

Draw
22%

Chapulineros de Oaxaca
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

21.9%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

20.6%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Playa Del Carmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Chapulineros de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Playa Del Carmen than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Playa Del Carmen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapulineros de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Inter Playa Del Carmen - Chapulineros de Oaxaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Alonso L. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Alonso L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Playa Del Carmen is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chapulineros has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Playa Del Carmen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Playa Del Carmen is the clear favorite.

We predict that Playa Del Carmen will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Playa Del Carmen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Playa Del Carmen
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.02.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Tapachula Soconusco	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Deportiva Venados - Inter Playa Del Carmen	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Neza	4:0 ✺
07.02.26	Dragones Toluca - Inter Playa Del Carmen	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Cañoneros Marina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWTW
- Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.03.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Héroes de Zaci	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Celaya - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Racing de Veracruz	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Deportiva Venados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.10.25	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Inter Playa Del Carmen	3:1

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