The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Inter San Carlos 61.6%
Draw 22.4%
Carmelita 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.6%
23.1%
16.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.1%
21.8%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter San Carlos than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Inter San Carlos - Carmelita Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
85', 3 - 0, ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter San Carlos won 3.
Inter San Carlos is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Carmelita has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Inter San Carlos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Carmelita has had a series of home games.
In this match, Inter San Carlos is a strong favorite.
We predict that Inter San Carlos will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Inter San Carlos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Inter San Carlos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).