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Current Win Probability
HFX Wanderers 34.9%
Draw 27.1%
Vancouver FC 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
26.4%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
25.5%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HFX Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Vancouver FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vancouver FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carducci M. (G) 21. Alphonse J. 2. Linder F. 26. Meilleur-Gigeuere T. 7. Telfer R. 6. Callegari L. 22. Zitman S. 5. Olguin L. 8. Johnston I. (C) 14. Bahamboula J. 23. Arilla M.
1. Irving C. (C) 3. Doner M. 5. Campagna M. 30. Field T. 2. Gee P. 15. Ouattara A. 21. Polisi M. 7. Bah E. 6. Pecile D. 10. Amissi M. 14. Campbell T.
Substitutes
12. Astridge S. (G) 20. Ciccarelli T. 24. Kachwele C. 18. Rampersad A. 11. Reid A. 16. Sow K. 17. Troisi F.
16. Lee B. 20. Mezquida N. 23. Proctor K. 33. Regitnig H. (G) 8. Toomey L. 11. Traore A. 29. Vitor Lucas
Coaches
Sartini V.
Nash M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Bahamboula J. ⚽,
45+3', Bah E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Gee P. 🟨,
59', Campbell T. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
59', Ouattara A. ↓, Toomey L. ↑,
66', Arilla M. ↓, Troisi F. ↑,
72', Polisi M. 🟨,
75', Gee P. ↓, Lee B. ↑,
75', Polisi M. ↓, Mezquida N. ↑,
76', Johnston I. ↓, Sow K. ↑,
76', Zitman S. ↓, Kachwele C. ↑,
78', Callegari L. 🟨,
83', Olguin L. 🟨,
89', Olguin L. ↓, Rampersad A. ↑,
89', Bahamboula J. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 3.
HFX Wanderers has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Vancouver FC is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vancouver FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
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Carducci M. (G) 
Linder F. 
Telfer R. 
Callegari L. 
Zitman S. 
Bahamboula J. 
Arilla M. 
Field T. 
Amissi M. 
Kachwele C. 
Troisi F. 
Mezquida N. 
Traore A. 
Vitor Lucas 
Sartini V. 
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