Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 12

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Major José Levy Sobrinho (Limeira)

Referee: Araujo V. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Israel	Sport 3
Usa	Fanatiz


	Internacional de Limeira		Santos

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.7	1.57	Watch
	5.6	3.55	1.56
	6.17	3.91	1.56
	5.96	3.74	1.59	Watch
	5.8	3.5	1.57
	5.81	3.76	1.55	Watch
	5.6	3.55	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.92 ↑ (4.7)	3.67 ↑ (3.37)	1.57 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Limeira
15.6%

Draw
25.2%

Santos
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

27.3%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

26.9%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Internacional de Limeira - Santos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Igo Gabriel (G) 2. Felipe Albuquerque 3. Guilherme Mariano 34. Carlao 26. Juan Tavares 5. Flavio 10. Albano 21. Lucas Buchecha 25. Ramon 20. Ruan Ribeiro 18. Carrillo R.	1. Joao Paulo (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 4. Gil 2. Ze Ivaldo 31. Escobar G. 49. Gabriel Bontempo 5. Joao Schmidt 7. Soteldo Y. 10. Neymar (C) 11. Guilherme 9. Tiquinho Soares
Substitutes
11. Alex Sandro 31. Alysson Dutra 1. Andre Luiz (G) 19. Bernardo 13. Eduardo 28. Estevao 16. Juninho 6. Leocovick 8. Ly I. 27. Mauricio 17. Pablo 30. Vinicius Barreta (G)	22. Barreal A. 21. Diego Pituca 12. Diogenes (G) 70. Gabriel Veron 29. Godoy L. 3. Joao Basso 38. Kevyson 14. Luan Peres 79. Luca Meirelles 25. Luisao 8. Rincon T. 16. Thaciano
Coaches
Marcio Fernandes	Caixinha P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Tiquinho Soares ⚽, Neymar (A),
27', 0 - 2, Neymar ⚽,
32', 0 - 3, Tiquinho Soares ⚽, Neymar (A),
45', Ramon 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guilherme ↓, Luan Peres ↑,
46', Ze Ivaldo ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
46', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Thaciano ↑,
57', Luan Peres 🟨,
60', Felipe Albuquerque ↓, Mauricio ↑,
66', Flavio 🟨,
67', Albano ↓, Estevao ↑,
67', Ruan Ribeiro ↓, Pablo ↑,
67', Carrillo R. ↓, Alex Sandro ↑,
67', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
78', Ramon ↓, Bernardo ↑,
81', Soteldo Y. ↓, Barreal A. ↑,

Preview

Inter de Limeira is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Santos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Inter de Limeira have a series of guest games.

In this match Santos is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Inter de Limeira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Inter de Limeira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.02.25	Água Santa - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Velo Clube - Internacional de Limeira	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Internacional de Limeira - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
10.02.25	São Paulo - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Portuguesa - Internacional de Limeira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLLTL
- Santos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.02.25	Santos - EC Noroeste	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Santos - Água Santa	3:1 ✺
12.02.25	Corinthians - Santos	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Santos	0:0 ✺
05.02.25	Santos - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
09.03.24	Santos - Internacional de Limeira	3:2
26.01.22	Internacional de Limeira - Santos	0:0
18.04.21	Santos - Internacional de Limeira	2:1
30.01.20	Santos - Internacional de Limeira	2:0

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