Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 11

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 2
Usa	Fanatiz


	Santos		EC Noroeste

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.5	10	Watch
	1.28	5	8.6	Watch
	1.25	5.86	11.59
	1.28	5.25	10.51	Watch
	1.25	5	10
	1.29	5.62	10.6	Watch
	1.28	5	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)	5.32 ↑ (4.7)	9.99 ↑ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
73.2%

Draw
17.5%

EC Noroeste
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

19.7%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

12.1%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-30%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC Noroeste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Santos - EC Noroeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Noroeste will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 4. Gil 2. Ze Ivaldo 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt 49. Gabriel Bontempo 7. Soteldo Y. 10. Neymar 11. Guilherme 9. Tiquinho Soares	27. Felipe Alves (G) 12. Felipe Rodrigues 44. Maycon (C) 30. Rodolfo Filemon 66. Maykon Jesus 7. Pedro Felipe 26. Dudu Miraima 5. Jonatas Paulista 88. Denner 37. Thiago Lopes 9. Carlao
Substitutes
21. Diego Pituca 70. Gabriel Veron 29. Godoy L. 3. Joao Basso 1. Joao Paulo (G) 38. Kevyson 14. Luan Peres 79. Luca Meirelles 25. Luisao 41. Mateus Xavier 8. Rincon T. 16. Thaciano	51. Adriano Filho 17. Buiu 3. Carlinhos 2. Cicinho 1. Fernando Henrique (G) 94. Jeferson Romario (G) 99. Jenison 55. Leo Costa 11. Luiz Thiago 21. Matheus Blade 22. Renan Araujo 52. Silva D.
Coaches
Caixinha P.	Aal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Jonatas Paulista 🟨,
18', Neymar 🟨,
18', Rodolfo Filemon 🟨,
43', Denner ↓, Matheus Blade ↑,
45+4', 1 - 0, Guilherme ⚽, Joao Pedro Chermont (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jonatas Paulista ↓, Adriano Filho ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Tiquinho Soares ⚽,
58', Maycon 🟨,
61', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
66', Joao Pedro Chermont 🟨,
69', Neymar ↓, Thaciano ↑,
69', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
71', Felipe Rodrigues ↓, Cicinho ↑,
76', Gil ↓, Luan Peres ↑,
76', Joao Schmidt ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
77', Pedro Felipe ↓, Jenison ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Thaciano ⚽, Tiquinho Soares (A),
82', Escobar G. ↓, Kevyson ↑,
86', Matheus Blade 🟨,

Preview

Ludwigsburg is Qualified for Champions League Women (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Odense is Qualified for Champions League Women (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Ludwigsburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ludwigsburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.02.25	Santos - Água Santa	3:1 ✺
12.02.25	Corinthians - Santos	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Santos	0:0 ✺
05.02.25	Santos - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Santos - São Paulo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTTW
- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.25	Red Bull Bragantino - EC Noroeste	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	EC Noroeste - São Bernardo	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Mirassol - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	EC Noroeste - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Corinthians - EC Noroeste	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTLL

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