Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 1

Date: 10 February 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Nacional Mané Garrincha (Brasília)

Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	São Paulo		Internacional de Limeira

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	11	Watch
	1.23	5.4	11
	1.23	5.88	14.82
	1.26	5.18	12.88	Watch
	1.22	5	12
	1.24	5.82	11.1	Watch
	1.23	5.4	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)	5.53 ↑ (4.63)	11.97 ↑ (9.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
75.4%

Draw
16.8%

Internacional de Limeira
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

20.1%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

19.1%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo's performance.

Internacional de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

São Paulo - Internacional de Limeira Predictions

Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 2. Igor Vinicius 5. Robert Arboleda 35. Sabino 13. Diaz E. 25. Alisson 29. Pablo Maia 7. Lucas Moura 8. Oscar 11. Ferreira 9. Jonathan Calleri	12. Igo Gabriel (G) 13. Eduardo 34. Carlao 31. Alysson Dutra 2. Felipe Albuquerque 19. Bernardo 15. Marlon (C) 26. Juan Tavares 10. Albano 11. Alex Sandro 7. Rhuan
Substitutes
17. Andre Silva 21. Bobadilla D. 6. Cedric 32. Ferraresi N. 28. Franco A. 93. Jandrei (G) 48. Lucas Ferreira 20. Marcos Antonio 47. Matheus Alves 36. Patryck 22. Ruan Tressoldi 49. Ryan Francisco	1. Andre Luiz (G) 28. Estevao 22. JP Galvao 16. Juninho 21. Lucas Buchecha 27. Mauricio 17. Pablo 9. Rafael Silva 25. Ramon 20. Ruan Ribeiro 30. Vinicius Barreta (G)
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Felipe Conceicao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Marlon 🟨,
45+2', Juan Tavares 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Rhuan ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
53', Alex Sandro ↓, Pablo ↑,
61', Bernardo 🟨,
67', Carlao 🟨,
67', Carlao ↓, Ramon ↑,
67', Alisson ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,
68', Igor Vinicius ↓, Cedric ↑,
68', Ferreira ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
73', Pablo Maia 🟨,
75', Albano ↓, Juninho ↑,
75', Alysson Dutra ↓, Mauricio ↑,
83', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Andre Silva ↑,

Preview

Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Inter de Limeira is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match São Paulo is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:1 (average 3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.02.25	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	São Paulo - Mirassol	4:1 ✺
01.02.25	Santos - São Paulo	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	Portuguesa - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW
- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
07.02.25	Portuguesa - Internacional de Limeira	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Internacional de Limeira - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Internacional de Limeira - São Bernardo	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	EC Noroeste - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Internacional de Limeira - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.02.24	Internacional de Limeira - São Paulo	0:3
15.02.23	São Paulo - Internacional de Limeira	5:1
17.02.22	São Paulo - Internacional de Limeira	0:0
03.03.21	Internacional de Limeira - São Paulo	0:4

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