Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday


	Internacional de Palmira		Unión Magdalena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.14	3.29	3.85
	2.05	3.29	3.85
	2.3	3.2	2.75
	2.15	3.23	3.26	Watch
	2.34	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.33)	3.23 ↑ (3.19)	3.3 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Palmira
42.7%

Draw
29%

Unión Magdalena
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.2%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Loaiza J. (G) 2. Acha S. 11. Gamboa J. 4. Garcia J. 33. Gonzalez K. 19. Martinez E. 18. Monin F. 23. Murillo J. 5. Sanchez de Leon J. 17. Suarez K. (C) 35. Torres F.	1. Wallens J. (G) 13. Aleman J. 7. Carreno A. 30. Correa A. (C) 27. Escobar A. 4. Giraldo J. 21. Giraldo J. 3. Mera D. 10. Sarmiento J. 25. Spina A. L. 20. Tello J.
Substitutes
27. Caicedo M. L. A. 28. Ditta Ruiz J. J. 1. Facusse E. (G) 10. Gonzalez M. 37. Valois Y. 8. Vergara Pajaro S. 32. Viveros E.	17. Arrieta G. 34. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 6. Ortiz D. 24. Palomeque V. 14. Pinto J. 15. Tegue G. 5. Vanegas R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Suarez K. 🟨,
5', Carreno A. (Pen),
7', Acha S. 🟨,
12', Spina A. L. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Aleman J. ⚽,
45+2', Correa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez K. ↓, Vergara Pajaro S. ↑,
56', Sanchez de Leon J. 🟨,
60', Sanchez de Leon J. ↓, Caicedo M. L. A. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Carreno A. ⚽,
66', Carreno A. ↓, Arrieta G. ↑,
66', Escobar A. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
66', Acha S. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
72', Aleman J. ↓, Palomeque V. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter Palmira won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Inter Palmira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Inter Palmira won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Inter Palmira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera B
15.04.24	Deportes Quindío - Internacional de Palmira	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
08.04.24	Internacional de Palmira - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
02.04.24	Internacional de Palmira - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
25.03.24	Orsomarso - Internacional de Palmira	4:2 ✺
15.03.24	Barranquilla - Internacional de Palmira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TTWLT
- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
13.04.24	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Real Cundinamarca - Unión Magdalena	1:2 ✺
25.03.24	Unión Magdalena - Leones	2:3 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.03.24	Unión Magdalena - Tigres	2:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera B
16.03.24	Real Santander - Unión Magdalena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
10.09.22	Internacional de Palmira - Unión Magdalena	1:2
18.03.22	Unión Magdalena - Internacional de Palmira	0:2
Colombian Primera B
10.03.22	Internacional de Palmira - Unión Magdalena	1:2 penalties
10.08.21	Unión Magdalena - Internacional de Palmira	2:0
22.03.21	Unión Magdalena - Internacional de Palmira	1:0
12.10.20	Internacional de Palmira - Unión Magdalena	1:2
16.09.18	Unión Magdalena - Internacional de Palmira	1:1

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