Match Info

Championship - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Murdoch S. (Sco)


	Inverness		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.80	5.75
	1.46	3.90	5.75
	1.50	4.10	6.00	Watch
	1.47	4.21	7.57
	1.49	4.18	6.4	Watch
	1.45	4.00	7.45
	1.57	4.02	6.08
	1.48	4.10	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.57)	4.04 ↑ (3.92)	6.4 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Inverness
62.5%

Draw
23%

Arbroath
14.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.8%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

23.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+2%)

Inverness - Arbroath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munro R. (G) 4. Shinnie G. 5. Savage R. 6. Devine D. (C) 2. MacLeod C. 7. Allan P. 8. Mackinnon A. 17. Sole L. 35. Stewart A. 9. Stewart L. 36. Bavidge A.	1. McAdams A. (G) 4. Paterson B. 5. O'Brien T. (C) 6. Beadling T. 16. Watson C. 8. Flynn R. 17. Reid D. 25. MacIntyre J. 10. Reilly G. 14. McKenna M. 11. Dow R.
Substitutes
19. Bates M. 3. Boutin N. 16. Duncan R. 26. MacGregor R. 12. MacKay D. 20. Osong D. E. 21. Ross L. (G) 15. Smith K. 10. Wotherspoon D.	19. Daly C. 22. Dewar C. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 12. Stewart S. 9. Winter A.
Coaches
Kellacher S.	Hamilton C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, MacLeod C. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Bavidge A. ⚽, Allan P. (A),
45+1', Beadling T. ↓, Dewar C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Allan P. (Penalty Awarded),
67', McKenna M. 🟨,
68', MacIntyre J. ↓, Stewart S. ↑,
72', Sole L. ↓, Duncan R. ↑,
72', Stewart L. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
76', Mackinnon A. ↓, MacGregor R. ↑,
77', Reilly G. ↓, Winter A. ↑,
77', Dow R. ↓, Daly C. ↑,
85', Bavidge A. ↓, Boutin N. ↑,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 6th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 1.

Inverness is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Arbroath has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Arbroath could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Inverness as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Inverness has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:20 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Inverness against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:8 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Inverness	12	5	4	3	16:11	5	19
8	Arbroath	12	3	2	7	7:18	-11	11

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Inverness: 6.54% Arbroath: 0.63%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
13.10.26	Queens Park - Inverness	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Inverness - Greenock Morton	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Livingston - Inverness	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Ayr United - Inverness	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWTW
- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
10.10.26	Arbroath - Greenock Morton	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Partick Thistle - Arbroath	3:0 ✺
25.09.26	Arbroath - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Raith Rovers - Arbroath	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
08.08.26	Arbroath - Inverness	0:0
Scottish League One
26.04.25	Inverness - Arbroath	3:0
08.02.25	Arbroath - Inverness	3:0
14.12.24	Inverness - Arbroath	0:2
05.10.24	Arbroath - Inverness	1:0
Scottish League Cup
23.07.24	Inverness - Arbroath	0:1 penalties
Scottish Football Championship
06.04.24	Inverness - Arbroath	2:1

Upcoming Matches