Match Info

League One - Round 35

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)


	Inverness		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.9
	1.77	3.5	3.6
	1.83	3.75	3.75
	1.78	4.07	3.86
	1.82	3.91	3.85	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.9
	1.82	3.6	3.92	Watch
	1.83	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.19)	3.7 ↑ (3.48)	3.82 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
50.9%

Draw
25%

Arbroath
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

26.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inverness's performance.

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arbroath might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inverness that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arbroath could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Inverness - Arbroath Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Inverness will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Arbroath will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arbroath (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Gill M. (G) 20. Brannan B. 6. Devine D. (C) 5. Savage R. 12. Strachan M. 26. Allan P. 7. Gilmour C. 14. MacLeod C. 22. Bray K. 9. McKay B. 24. Stewart A.	21. McAdams A. (G) 19. Penman C. 27. Muirhead A. 5. O'Brien T. (C) 4. Wilkie J. 12. Stewart S. 20. Flynn R. 14. Taylor F. 6. Stanton S. 11. Dow R. 25. Winter A.
Substitutes
23. Cairns E. 32. Ewan C. 29. Gardiner B. 19. Keogh S. 11. Longstaff L. 3. Nolan J. 25. Rebilas S. (G) 18. Thompson R. 16. Walker J.	9. Gallagher C. 7. Gold D. 17. King B. 31. Mcconnell J. (G) 22. Murray I. 10. Reilly G. 32. Spalding A. 2. Steele A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Bray K. ⚽, Brannan B. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Allan P. (Pen),
37', Strachan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 3 - 0, McKay B. ⚽,
57', Penman C. ↓, Reilly G. ↑,
74', Dow R. 🟨,
75', Strachan M. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
78', Dow R. ↓, Murray I. ↑,
81', Stewart A. ↓, Longstaff L. ↑,
90+2', Allan P. ↓, Gardiner B. ↑,
90+2', Bray K. ↓, Keogh S. ↑,
90+3', McKay B. ↓, Cairns E. ↑,

Preview

Arbroath is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inverness won 1.

Recent matches Inverness is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arbroath is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Inverness is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Inverness won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:20 (average 1.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Inverness won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
19.04.25	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Inverness - Kelty Hearts	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Cove Rangers - Inverness	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Queen of the South - Inverness	4:1 ✺
22.03.25	Inverness - Alloa Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWLT
- Arbroath
Scottish League One
19.04.25	Annan Athletic - Arbroath	5:1 ✺
12.04.25	Arbroath - Stenhousemuir	4:0 ✺
05.04.25	Montrose - Arbroath	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Arbroath - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Kelty Hearts - Arbroath	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
08.02.25	Arbroath - Inverness	3:0
14.12.24	Inverness - Arbroath	0:2
05.10.24	Arbroath - Inverness	1:0
Scottish League Cup
23.07.24	Inverness - Arbroath	0:1 penalties
Scottish Football Championship
06.04.24	Inverness - Arbroath	2:1
24.02.24	Arbroath - Inverness	1:1
16.12.23	Inverness - Arbroath	1:2

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