Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Queensland Premier League - Round 18

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	Ipswich FC		Moreton City Excelsior U21

	1	X	2
	1.66	4	3.75
	1.72	4.47	3.77
	1.65	4.48	3.88	Watch
	1.6	4.2	3.8
	1.58	4.4	4.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.22)	4.31 ↑ (3.74)	3.89 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich FC
55.5%

Draw
21.1%

Moreton City Excelsior U21
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

24.2%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

22.9%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich FC's performance.

Moreton City Excelsior U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreton City Excelsior U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich FC than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton City Excelsior U21 than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moreton City Excelsior U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ipswich FC - Moreton City Excelsior U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ipswich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moreton City Excelsior U21 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ipswich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ipswich have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich FC Australia
Australian Queensland Premier League
06.07.24	Southside Eagles - Ipswich FC	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Ipswich FC - Capalaba	1:1 ✺
21.06.24	Brisbane Strikers - Ipswich FC	4:1 ✺
15.06.24	Eastern Suburbs - Ipswich FC	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Capalaba - Ipswich FC	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTLTW
- Moreton City Excelsior U21
Australian Queensland Premier League
05.07.24	Moreton City Excelsior U21 - Brisbane Strikers	1:4 ✺
22.06.24	Eastern Suburbs - Moreton City Excelsior U21	7:1 ✺
15.06.24	Moreton City Excelsior U21 - Capalaba	0:5 ✺
08.06.24	South West Queensland Thunder - Moreton City Excelsior U21	3:2 ✺
02.06.24	St. George Willawong - Moreton City Excelsior U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
13.04.24	Moreton City Excelsior U21 - Ipswich FC	1:1

Ipswich FC - Moreton City Excelsior U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide