Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Irapuato		Cimarrones de Sonora

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	1.9	3.02	3.91
	1.93	3.13	3.98	Watch
	1.89	3.13	4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.12)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3.68 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irapuato
45.5%

Draw
29.7%

Cimarrones de Sonora
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Irapuato - Cimarrones de Sonora Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Irapuato (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Irapuato will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Irapuato will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Irapuato (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, Ruiz J. ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg./

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 1).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Cimarrones de Sonora has had a series of home games.

Irapuato might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Irapuato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Irapuato - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.9%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irapuato
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.04.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Irapuato	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Irapuato - Alacranes de Durango	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Alacranes de Durango - Irapuato	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Irapuato	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Irapuato - Deportiva Venados	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTTWW
- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.04.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Irapuato	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Racing de Veracruz	5:1 ✺
19.04.25	Racing de Veracruz - Cimarrones de Sonora	3:0 ✺
11.04.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mexicali	4:0 ✺
28.03.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.04.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Irapuato	1:1
14.12.24	Irapuato - Cimarrones de Sonora	3:0
11.12.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Irapuato	1:0

Irapuato - Cimarrones de Sonora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide