Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 30

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Ironi Modiin		Jerusalem FC

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	7.2
	1.41	4.19	7.1	Watch
	1.37	4.3	7.37
	1.38	4.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.73)	4.22 ↑ (3.2)	7.22 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Modiin
65.8%

Draw
21.6%

Jerusalem FC
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

27.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Modiin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ironi Modiin's performance.

Jerusalem FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jerusalem FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ironi Modiin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jerusalem FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ironi Modiin - Jerusalem FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Tuiliavko D. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Tuiliavko D. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, Hayek P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 2 - 2, Edri D. (Pen),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 7).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Jerusalem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ironi Modiin is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ironi Modiin to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ironi Modiin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Modiin
Israeli Liga Alef South
12.03.25	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Maccabi Shaarayim - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
14.02.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Azor	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Ironi Modiin	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTWW
- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
21.03.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Yavne	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Jerusalem FC	6:1 ✺
07.03.25	Jerusalem FC - Holon Yermiyahu	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Jerusalem FC	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Shaarayim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
06.12.24	Jerusalem FC - Ironi Modiin	1:2

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