Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 15

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Iskra Smolensk		Volga Tver

	1	X	2
	2.47	3.70	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.4)	3.7 ↑ (3.52)	2.47 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iskra Smolensk
37.5%

Draw
25%

Volga Tver
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25.5%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Iskra Smolensk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Volga Tver has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Smolensk than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Tver than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Iskra Smolensk - Volga Tver Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Vasiliev M. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Kozyrev S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
53', Ponomarev E. (Penalty Awarded),
54', 2 - 1, Ponomarev E. ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Zakharov K. ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, Abdulkin N. ⚽,
75', 2 - 4, Khomyakov A. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 11)

Iskra is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Volga Tver's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Volga Tver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Tver	25	11	3	11	42:37	5	36
11	Iskra Smolensk	25	6	6	13	24:47	-23	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iskra Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
21.06.26	Murom - Iskra Smolensk	6:0 ✺
13.06.26	Iskra Smolensk - Luki-Energiya	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Iskra Smolensk	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Torpedo Vladimir	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Irkutsk - Iskra Smolensk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTTLL
- FC Volga Tver
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
28.06.26	Volga Tver - Murom	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Luki-Energiya - Volga Tver	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Volga Tver - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Volga Tver	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Volga Tver - Irkutsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLLW

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