Match Info

EGYPT: Premier League - Round 14

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)


	Ismaily		Al Ahly Cairo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	3.7	1.47
				Watch
	7.98	3.85	1.54
				Watch
	6.5	3.6	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.91 ↑ (6.69)	3.72 ↓ (3.98)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ismaily
13.5%

Draw
25%

Al Ahly Cairo
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

23%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

21.9%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo Predictions

Users Predictions: Al Ahly Cairo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. El Sayed K. (G) 32. Khatary M. 2. Nasr M. 5. Ammar M. 3. Sukkar H. M. 30. Traore E. 12. Mostafa A. 14. Mohamed H. 10. Abdelsamia M. 11. Zidan M. 20. El Saeed A.	1. El Shenawy M. (G) 30. Hany M. 5. Rabia R. 8. Tawfik A. 36. Ahmed Kouka 22. Ashour E. 13. Ateya M. 14. El Shahat H. 38. Abdallah M. 24. Reda A. 10. Gradisar N.
Substitutes
. Al Malwani A. 19. El Dah A. 43. El Kot O. 15. Farag N. 31. Gamal A. (G) 9. Hamdi M. 6. Hassan M. 40. Katkot A. 24. Mohamed A.	2. Abdelfattah K. 9. Abou Ali W. 19. Afsha 15. Dari A. 33. El Debes K. 23. El Saaiy O. 17. El Solia A. 20. Karim Nedved 31. Oufa Shobeir (G)
Coaches
Ibrahim H.	Koller M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Ateya M. (Pen),
10', Reda A. 🟨,
24', Mostafa A. 🟨,
26', El Shahat H. (Pen),
45+4', Nasr M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Abdelsamia M. ↓, Farag N. ↑,
46', Traore E. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
46', Zidan M. ↓, El Dah A. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Ashour E. ⚽, Abdallah M. (A),
57', Hamdi M. 🟨,
69', Mohamed H. 🟨,
74', Khatary M. ↓, El Kot O. ↑,
76', Gradisar N. ↓, Abou Ali W. ↑,
76', Rabia R. ↓, Dari A. ↑,
77', Ateya M. ↓, Karim Nedved ↑,
83', 0 - 3, El Shahat H. ⚽,
84', El Shahat H. ↓, El Debes K. ↑,
85', Ashour E. ↓, Afsha ↑,
88', 0 - 4, Reda A. ⚽,
90+2', Mohamed H. ↓, Katkot A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ismaily won 0.

Ismaily is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Ahly is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ismaily could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al Ahly is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ismaily won 0 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 8:29 (average 0.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ismaily won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5:17 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ismaily SC
Egyptian Premier League
12.02.25	El Gouna - Ismaily	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Zamalek - Ismaily	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Ismaily - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
21.01.25	Ismaily - Smouha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW
- Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League
11.02.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:0 ✺
06.02.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Petrojet	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Modern Sport - Al Ahly Cairo	1:3 ✺
26.01.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Pyramids	2:2 ✺
22.01.25	Pharco - Al Ahly Cairo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
01.05.24	Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo	1:2
08.10.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Ismaily	3:1
05.07.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Ismaily	1:0
19.10.22	Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo	0:1
21.08.22	Al Ahly Cairo - Ismaily	0:0
Egyptian League Cup
17.01.22	Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo	1:1
Egyptian Premier League
27.10.21	Ismaily - Al Ahly Cairo	0:4

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