Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 4

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida (Tombos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Tombense		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3	4.1
	1.87	3.05	4.2	Watch
	1.91	3.15	4.57
	1.9	3.11	4.6	Watch
	1.85	2.88	4.4
	1.84	2.98	4.55	Watch
	1.87	3.05	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)	3.03 ↓ (3.05)	4.37 ↓ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
49%

Draw
30.1%

Itabaiana
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

29.9%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Tombense - Itabaiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Jefferson (C)
	3. Betao
	7. Carlos Coppetti
	14. Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R.
	20. Fabricio Oya
	19. Joao Cabral
	6. Kevin
	26. Leilson
	28. Luis Fernando
	15. Romeu
	21. Valdeci
Substitutes
	5. Bruno Sena
	23. Elimar
	44. Geaze (G)
	30. Jackson
	9. Joao Vitor
	22. Kauan Santos
	27. Rhuan Silveira
	16. Robinho
	10. Tarcisio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Anderson Ligeiro ⚽,
34', Fabricio Dias 🟨,
45+2', Kevin 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Rickson ↑,
71', Tarcisio ↓, Jefferson Renan ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Rafael Silva (Pen),
78', Joao Cabral 🟥,
81', Ianson 🟨,
84', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).

Itabaiana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Tombense is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.25	Ituano - Tombense	3:1 ✺
21.04.25	Tombense - Figueirense	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.25	Operário Ferroviario - Tombense	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Tombense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTLW
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.25	Itabaiana - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ypiranga - Itabaiana	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
29.03.25	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Itabaiana - Confiança	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWTL

Tombense - Itabaiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide