Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 2

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)


	Ypiranga		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.97	2.95	4	Watch
	2.02	3.05	4.51
	1.99	2.97	4.41	Watch
	1.95	3	4.49	Watch
	1.97	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)	3 ↑ (2.9)	4.24 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
47.4%

Draw
30.8%

Itabaiana
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

31.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

30%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Ypiranga aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Ypiranga - Itabaiana Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Itabaiana (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Itabaiana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Edson (C) 19. Caique 9. Cristiano 11. Felipe Marques 36. Igor Morais 10. Jean Pyerre 30. Joao Paulo 16. Lucas Ramos 7. Roger 2. Vitor Marinho 3. Willian Gomes	1. Jefferson (C) 3. Betao 5. Bruno Sena 7. Carlos Coppetti 14. Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. 4. Gabriel Santiago 30. Jackson 22. Kauan Santos 26. Leilson 28. Luis Fernando 17. Wendel R. N. J.
Substitutes
5. Charles Raphael 8. Clayton 99. Danielzinho 32. Fabao 25. Gabriel Terra 43. Luciano 23. Marlone 20. Maxuel Cassio 77. Pedrinho 22. Rian 26. Valber Junior 40. Ze Carlos (G)	23. Elimar 20. Fabricio Oya 44. Geaze (G) 19. Joao Cabral 27. Rhuan Silveira 16. Robinho 15. Romeu 10. Tarcisio 21. Valdeci
Coaches
Matheus Costa	Roberto Cavalo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Roger ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Wendel R. N. J. ⚽,
25', Jackson 🟨,
30', 2 - 1, Cristiano (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jean Pyerre ↓, Charles Raphael ↑,
46', Bruno Sena ↓, Robinho ↑,
46', Betao ↓, Fabricio Oya ↑,
47', Edson 🟨,
56', Luis Fernando 🟨,
57', 3 - 1, Charles Raphael ⚽,
59', Igor Morais 🟨,
62', Roger ↓, Marlone ↑,
62', Felipe Marques ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
68', Jackson ↓, Joao Cabral ↑,
69', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. ↓, Rhuan Silveira ↑,
69', Cristiano ↓, Fabao ↑,
80', Wendel R. N. J. ↓, Tarcisio ↑,
81', Caique ↓, Maxuel Cassio ↑,
83', Joao Paulo 🟨,
85', 3 - 2, Fabricio Oya ⚽,
86', Tarcisio 🟨,

Preview

Ypiranga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Itabaiana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Itabaiana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ypiranga is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ypiranga - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.13%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
14.04.25	Londrina - Ypiranga	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.04.25	São Luiz - Ypiranga	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.03.25	Ypiranga - São Luiz	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	São Luiz - Ypiranga	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Ypiranga - Monsoon	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWW
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
13.04.25	Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
29.03.25	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Itabaiana - Confiança	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Itabaiana - América de Propriá	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	América de Propriá - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTLWT

Ypiranga - Itabaiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide