Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 3

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Etelvino Mendonca (Itabaiana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Nosso Futebol+


	Itabaiana		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.6
	2.7	2.9	2.6	Watch
	2.62	3	2.88
	2.85	2.9	2.71	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.71	2.89	2.53	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.18)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)	2.66 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabaiana
34.2%

Draw
31.5%

São Bernardo
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itabaiana's form might have worsened.

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Bernardo's recent form is better than expected.

Itabaiana - São Bernardo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jefferson (C) 3. Betao 7. Carlos Coppetti 14. Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. 20. Fabricio Oya 4. Gabriel Santiago 30. Jackson 6. Kevin 26. Leilson 15. Romeu 17. Wendel R. N. J.	12. Junior Oliveira (C) 6. Arthur Henrique 32. Bastos R. 20. Emerson Santos 11. Felipe Azevedo 35. Foguinho 21. Hugo Sanches 25. Pedro Carrerette 59. Pedro Felipe 4. Rafael Forster 17. Romisson
Substitutes
5. Bruno Sena 13. Dudu 23. Elimar 44. Geaze (G) 19. Joao Cabral 9. Joao Vitor 22. Kauan Santos 28. Luis Fernando 27. Rhuan Silveira 16. Robinho 10. Tarcisio 21. Valdeci	44. Caio Garcez 26. Dudu Miraima 77. Guilherme Queiroz 19. Henry 14. Jefferson Vinicius 5. Kadi Silva 33. Kaua Jesus 22. Leo Duarte 30. Sillas 84. Vanderlei (G)
Coaches
Roberto Cavalo	Ricardo Catala

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Hugo Sanches ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jackson ↓, Joao Cabral ↑,
47', Pedro Carrerette 🟨,
55', Bastos R. (Pen),
57', Joao Cabral 🟨,
57', Emerson Santos ↓, Kadi Silva ↑,
66', Foguinho ↓, Dudu Miraima ↑,
67', Pedro Felipe ↓, Sillas ↑,
70', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. ↓, Robinho ↑,
70', Romeu ↓, Valdeci ↑,
74', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
74', Bastos R. ↓, Henry ↑,
80', Kevin ↓, Tarcisio ↑,
81', Fabricio Oya ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
83', Carlos Coppetti 🟨,
83', Guilherme Queiroz 🟨,
83', Sillas 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Itabaiana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Itabaiana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
19.04.25	Ypiranga - Itabaiana	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
29.03.25	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Itabaiana - Confiança	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Itabaiana - América de Propriá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTLW
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
20.04.25	Maringá - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	São Bernardo - ABC	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.03.25	São Bernardo - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	São Bernardo - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
20.02.25	Portuguesa - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLT

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