Match Info

Date: 8 April 2021, Thursday


	Itacoatiara		Penarol

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.4	1.45
	5.25	4.33	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (4.06)	4.37 ↑ (3.5)	1.48 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itacoatiara
17.4%

Draw
20.9%

Penarol
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

26%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

20.8%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itacoatiara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itacoatiara's form might have worsened.

Penarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penarol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itacoatiara than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penarol than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Amazonense (Play Offs) and 7 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Amazonense (Play Offs)).

Recent matches JC is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Penarol is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Penarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Penarol have a series of home games.

In this match Penarol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Itacoatiara FC
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
05.04.21	Itacoatiara - Princesa do Solimões	1:3 ✺
01.04.21	Iranduba da Amazônia - Itacoatiara	2:3 ✺
28.03.21	Itacoatiara - Amazonas	0:3 ✺
20.03.21	Clipper - Itacoatiara	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Itacoatiara - São Raimundo Manaus	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLTT
- Penarol AC
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
04.04.21	Penarol - Clipper	0:1 ✺
29.03.21	Penarol - Nacional AM	2:1 ✺
25.03.21	Amazonas - Penarol	1:0 ✺
22.03.21	Penarol - Manaus	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.21	Penarol - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLT

Itacoatiara - Penarol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide