Match Info

Friendly International Women

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	W-sport
Asia	W-Sport Asia
Belgium	W-sport
France	Molotov TV, W-Sport
Italy	RAI 2, RaiPlay
Japan	AbemaTV
Luxembourg	W-Sport
Malaysia	Canal+
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	W-Sport
Portugal	W-Sport
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	W-Sport


	Italy W		Japan W

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.35	2.08
	3.22	3.42	2.13
	3.56	3.18	2.09	Watch
	3.15	3.22	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.51)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	2.13 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy W
28.3%

Draw
28.1%

Japan W
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Italy W's form might have worsened.

Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan W's recent form is better than expected.

Italy W - Japan W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giuliani L. (G) AC Milan 11. Bonansea B. Juventus . Corelli A. AS Roma . D'Auria F. Lazio 10. Girelli C. Juventus 20. Greggi G. AS Roma 19. Lenzini M. Juventus 5. Linari E. (C) London City Lionesses 2. Oliviero E. Lazio 4. Schatzer E. Juventus 8. Severini E. Fiorentina	1. Yamashita A. (G) Manchester City 15. Fujino A. Manchester City 14. Hasegawa Y. (C) Manchester City 6. Koga T. Tottenham 4. Kumagai S. London City Lionesses 20. Matsukubo M. North Carolina Courage 7. Miyazawa H. Manchester United 21. Moriya M. Angel City 8. Seike K. Brighton 5. Takahashi H. Urawa 11. Tanaka M. Utah Royals

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Matsukubo M. ↓, Tanikawa M. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Greggi G. ⚽, Girelli C. (A),
60', Lenzini M. ↓, Salvai C. ↑,
60', Bonansea B. ↓, Monnecchi M. ↑,
61', Girelli C. ↓, Polli E. ↑,
61', Seike K. ↓, Hamano M. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Hasegawa Y. ⚽, Miyazawa H. (A),
72', Corelli A. 🟨,
77', Tanaka M. ↓, Ueki R. ↑,
78', Severini E. ↓, Tomaselli M. ↑,
78', Greggi G. ↓, Dragoni G. ↑,
80', Koga T. ↓, Shimizu R. ↑,
88', Corelli A. ↓, Nischler N. ↑,
90+5', Dragoni G. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Italy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy W
UEFA Euro Women
22.07.25	England W - Italy W	2:1 ET ✺
16.07.25	Norway W - Italy W	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Italy W - Spain W	1:3 ✺
07.07.25	Portugal W - Italy W	1:1 ✺
03.07.25	Belgium W - Italy W	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLTW
- Japan W
EAFF E-1 Women
16.07.25	Japan W - China W	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Japan W - South Korea W	1:1 ✺
09.07.25	Japan W - Chinese Taipei W	4:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
27.06.25	Spain W - Japan W	3:1 ✺
02.06.25	Brazil W - Japan W	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
28.05.15	Japan W - Italy W	1:0

Italy W - Japan W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide