Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 14

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday


	Itapirense U20		Ponte Preta U20

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	1.98
	4.35	3.85	1.62
	4.42	3.76	1.62
	3.06	3.72	2.01	Watch
	4.71	3.9	1.59
	3.08	3.64	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.05)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	1.8 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itapirense U20
24.4%

Draw
24.7%

Ponte Preta U20
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

25%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

23.9%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itapirense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itapirense U20's form might have worsened.

Ponte Preta U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponte Preta U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense U20 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Itapirense U20 - Ponte Preta U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponte Preta U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

Itapirense U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ponte Preta U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ponte Preta U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Itapirense U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Itapirense U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Itapirense U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
25.07.25	EC São Bernardo U20 - Itapirense U20	5:1 ✺
18.07.25	Itapirense U20 - Mirassol U20	0:0 ✺
11.07.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax U20 - Itapirense U20	4:1 ✺
04.07.25	Itapirense U20 - Aguaí U20	1:0 ✺
25.06.25	Internacional de Limeira U20 - Itapirense U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWL
- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
24.07.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Aguaí U20	5:0 ✺
19.07.25	Taubaté U20 - Ponte Preta U20	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Sfera U20	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Santos U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Velo Clube U20	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
31.05.24	Ponte Preta U20 - Itapirense U20	3:1
26.04.24	Itapirense U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:3

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