Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 11

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday


	Ponte Preta U20		Sfera U20

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.05	4.05
	1.66	3.96	4.11
	1.6	3.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)	3.99 ↓ (4.2)	4.05 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta U20
55.3%

Draw
22.6%

Sfera U20
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sfera U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sfera U20 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Ponte Preta U20 - Sfera U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Santana K. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Ponte Preta U20 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sfera U20 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ponte Preta U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ponte Preta U20 is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ponte Preta U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.25	Santos U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Velo Clube U20	5:2 ✺
20.06.25	São Caetano U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:3 ✺
07.06.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Internacional de Limeira U20	3:1 ✺
31.05.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Mirassol U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWW
- Sfera FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.07.25	Sfera U20 - São José-SP U20	3:0 ✺
20.06.25	Sfera U20 - CA Juventus U20	0:1 ✺
06.06.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax U20 - Sfera U20	3:0 ✺
30.05.25	Sfera U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	2:2 ✺
23.05.25	Itapirense U20 - Sfera U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTL

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