Match Info

Paulista A2 - Second stage - Round 1

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Votuporanguense		Ituano

	1	X	2
	3.14	2.85	2.41
	3.11	2.83	2.39	Watch
	3	2.75	2.38
	3.16	2.94	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (3.01)	2.84 ↓ (3.2)	2.4 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Votuporanguense
29.5%

Draw
32.3%

Ituano
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.6%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.6%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Votuporanguense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Votuporanguense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Votuporanguense - Ituano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Victor Feitosa ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+4', 2 - 0, Junior O. ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

Votuporanguense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ituano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ituano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Votuporanguense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Votuporanguense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Ituano - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.02%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Votuporanguense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.03.26	Piracicaba - Votuporanguense	5:1 ✺
28.02.26	Votuporanguense - São José-SP	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Ferroviária - Votuporanguense	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Osasco Sporting - Votuporanguense	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Votuporanguense - São Bento	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LLWWW
- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.03.26	Ituano - Atlético Monte Azul	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Osasco Sporting - Ituano	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	São José-SP - Ituano	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Ituano - Sertãozinho	4:0 ✺
18.02.26	Ituano - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
14.01.26	Ituano - Votuporanguense	1:0
01.03.25	Votuporanguense - Ituano	2:3

Votuporanguense - Ituano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide