Match Info

Primera C - Round 13

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	El Porvenir		Puerto Nuevo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.14	2.95	3.4	Watch
	2.11	2.95	3.43
	2.15	3.02	3.42	Watch
	2.13	2.91	3.5
	2.1	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.24)	3.01 ↑ (2.95)	3.4 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
42.9%

Draw
30.3%

Puerto Nuevo
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

31%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Porvenir (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Alvarenga M. (Pen),
38', 2 - 0, Rodriguez H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 3 - 0, Rodriguez H. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Pertossi D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 9).

El Porvenir is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Puerto Nuevo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

El Porvenir is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

El Porvenir - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
25.05.25	Lugano - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	El Porvenir - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Ituzaingó - El Porvenir	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	El Porvenir - Deportivo Español	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
24.05.25	Puerto Nuevo - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Leandro N. Alem - Puerto Nuevo	2:3 ✺
11.05.25	Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Puerto Nuevo	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Puerto Nuevo - Lugano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
21.09.24	Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir	1:1
21.04.24	El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo	2:1
16.07.22	El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo	1:0
13.03.22	Puerto Nuevo - El Porvenir	2:1
Argentinian Primera D
26.03.16	El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo	2:0

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