The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puerto Nuevo 26.2%
Draw 30.2%
Deportivo Español 43.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
30.3%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
29.8%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Nuevo's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Español's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Nuevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Español, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puerto Nuevo - Deportivo Español Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Español (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Puerto Nuevo (votes: 1 - 20%). Deportivo Español (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
83', 0 - 2, Fernandez M. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Primera C (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 0.
Puerto Nuevo has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Deportivo Español is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
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