Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 11

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	4.85	8.3	Watch
	1.34	5.1	9.05
	1.33	5.32	7.88	Watch
	1.25	4.8	8.5
	1.32	5.05	9.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)	5.02 ↑ (4.63)	8.55 ↑ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
70.8%

Draw
18.4%

Nagano Parceiro
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.1%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

18.9%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Iwaki - Nagano Parceiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Iwaki will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 15. Nakano H. 4. Dohana K. 35. Fukaminato S. 30. Shota K. 40. Nagaki R. 22. Takahashi Y. 27. Yamanaka A. 10. Nishitani R. 29. Tanaka K. 14. Yamaguchi D.	31. Makino K. (G) 16. Ishii K. 7. Ono Y. 13. Tsukegi Y. 25. Tanaka K. 30. Nojima K. 5. Hasegawa Y. 6. Hasegawa H. 8. Kondo T. 28. Fujikawa K. 18. Yoshizawa S.
Substitutes
3. Endo R. 28. Hisanaga R. 39. Joo H. (G) 11. Kato T. 2. Konno I. 5. Kuwata T. 7. Nakajima S. 32. Owie W.	4. Gyotoku E. 15. Higuchi K. 46. Koga S. 17. Kutsuna K. 26. Nakata S. 51. Shimizu S. 11. Shin K. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 3. Tomita K.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Kobayashi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Yoshizawa S. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Shota K. ⚽, Yamanaka A. (A),
45+2', Makino K. 🟥,
45+4', Nojima K. ↓, Tajiri K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tanaka K. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
58', Ishii K. ↓, Tomita K. ↑,
58', Hasegawa Y. ↓, Koga S. ↑,
71', Nagaki R. ↓, Endo R. ↑,
79', Kondo T. ↓, Higuchi K. ↑,
80', Ono Y. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
80', Yamaguchi D. ↓, Owie W. ↑,
80', Shota K. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
90+3', Yamanaka A. ↓, Konno I. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Iwaki has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nagano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Iwaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Iwaki has had a series of away games.

In this match, Iwaki is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Iwaki will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Iwaki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 J3 League
12.04.26	Fukushima United - Iwaki	2:3 ✺
05.04.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Iwaki	2:3 penalties ✺
29.03.26	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Nagano Parceiro - Iwaki	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J2 J3 League
12.04.26	Nagano Parceiro - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 penalties ✺
04.04.26	Fujieda MYFC - Nagano Parceiro	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Gifu - Nagano Parceiro	5:1 ✺
21.03.26	Nagano Parceiro - Iwaki	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
21.03.26	Nagano Parceiro - Iwaki	1:3
Japan J3 League
03.09.22	Iwaki - Nagano Parceiro	1:0
10.04.22	Nagano Parceiro - Iwaki	0:4

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