The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fukushima United 17.1%
Draw 22.5%
Iwaki 60.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.6%
22.2%
59.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.4%
22%
59.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Fukushima United - Iwaki Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ueda T. (G) 19. Fujita J. 17. Fujitani T. 29. Tsuchiya K. 23. Anzai T. 26. Tanaka K. 30. Kano K. 6. Uehata U. 32. Einaga T. 18. Ishii R. 8. Okada Y.
23. Sasaki M. (G) 15. Nakano H. 4. Dohana K. 35. Fukaminato S. 30. Shota K. 40. Nagaki R. 22. Takahashi Y. 27. Yamanaka A. 10. Nishitani R. 14. Yamaguchi D. 29. Tanaka K.
Substitutes
7. Ashibe K. 77. Chiba T. 40. Higuchi H. 20. Izumi S. 78. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 11. Miura K. 14. Nakamura T. 5. Toma H. 96. Yoshida J.
3. Endo R. 28. Hisanaga R. 11. Kato T. 1. Kato Y. (G) 2. Konno I. 5. Kuwata T. 13. Murakami H. 32. Owie W.
Coaches
Terada S.
Tamura Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Tanaka K. ⚽, Okada Y. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Yamanaka A. ⚽, Shota K. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Nishitani R. ⚽, Yamaguchi D. (A),
45+1', Uehata U. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ishii R. ↓, Higuchi H. ↑,
59', Yamaguchi D. 🟨,
62', Einaga T. ↓, Ashibe K. ↑,
62', Tanaka K. ↓, Yoshida J. ↑,
68', Yamanaka A. ↓, Konno I. ↑,
68', Tanaka K. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Kato T. ⚽, Nakano H. (A),
73', Nagaki R. ↓, Endo R. ↑,
83', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
84', Yamaguchi D. ↓, Owie W. ↑,
84', Shota K. ↓, Hisanaga R. ↑,
86', 2 - 3, Ashibe K. ⚽, Anzai T. (A),
90+2', Owie W. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).
In recent matches, Fukushima United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Iwaki is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Fukushima United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Iwaki is considered a favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Fukushima United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.