The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matsumoto Yamaga 33.8%
Draw 28.2%
Iwaki 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
26.1%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.7%
24.9%
49.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.
Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iwaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matsumoto Yamaga that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iwaki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
80%
0%
Matsumoto Yamaga - Iwaki Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Koma R. (G) 25. Shirai T. 43. Kaneko K. 16. Miyabe T. 8. Fukazawa Y. 2. Oda I. 46. Yasunaga R. 30. Sawazaki R. 40. Higuchi D. 41. Murakoshi K. 9. Kato T.
23. Sasaki M. (G) 15. Nakano H. 4. Dohana K. 35. Fukaminato S. 8. Shibata S. 30. Shota K. 10. Nishitani R. 14. Yamaguchi D. 27. Yamanaka A. 32. Owie W. 28. Hisanaga R.
Substitutes
38. Fujieda K. 50. Hayakawa K. 39. Inoue A. 33. Kim J. H. (G) 36. Matsumura G. 7. Matsuoka R. 27. Ninomiya J. 22. Saso K. 19. Tanaka S.
3. Endo R. 11. Kato T. 1. Kato Y. (G) 2. Konno I. 5. Kuwata T. 40. Nagaki R. 7. Nakajima S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Yamanaka A. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Fukaminato S. ⚽, Yamanaka A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Kaneko K. ⚽, Kato T. (A),
61', Yamanaka A. ↓, Konno I. ↑,
61', Hisanaga R. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
76', Sawazaki R. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
76', Kato T. ↓, Inoue A. ↑,
76', Owie W. ↓, Nagaki R. ↑,
90+1', Shibata S. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Fujieda K. ⚽,
90+5', Sasaki M. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 2, Konno I. ⚽, Nishitani R. (A),
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Murakoshi K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Nagaki R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Yasunaga R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Dohana K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Fujieda K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nakajima S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Shirai T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Nishitani R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Fukazawa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sasaki M. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Inoue A. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Yamaguchi D. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Oda I. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Shota K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Iwaki could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
China
Japan
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Koma R. (G) 
Kim J. H. (G) 
