The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JEF United Chiba 40.6%
Draw 27.8%
Omiya Ardija 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.6%
25.4%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
24.3%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JEF United Chiba's form might have worsened.
Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omiya Ardija's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JEF United Chiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. JEF United (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
JEF United Chiba will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Wakahara T. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 13. Suzuki D. 28. Kawano T. 67. Hidaka M. 18. Sugiyama N. 6. Eduardo 4. Taguchi T. 42. Issaka Z. 20. Ishikawa D. 29. Carlinhos
21. Kato Y. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 34. Murakami Y. 4. Ichihara R. 20. Shimoguchi W. 7. Kojima M. 30. Arthur Feitoza 14. Izumi T. 23. Sugimoto K. 29. Caprini 18. Tsukui T.
Substitutes
9. Goya H. 37. Himeno M. 15. Mae T. 44. Shinada M. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 24. Toriumi K. 10. Yokoyama A. 11. Yonekura K. 38. Yoshida G.
42. Fujii K. 44. Fukui K. 9. Gonzalez F. 13. Iyoha O. 46. Nuki M. 28. Tomiyama T. 45. Tsuboi Y. (G) 33. Wada T. 41. Yachida T.
Coaches
Kobayashi Y.
Miyazawa Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Izumi T. ⚽, Ichihara R. (A),
32', 0 - 2, Sekiguchi K. ⚽, Caprini (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
48', 0 - 3, Arthur Feitoza ⚽, Caprini (A),
57', Carlinhos 🟨,
60', Sugiyama N. ↓, Himeno M. ↑,
70', Izumi T. ↓, Yachida T. ↑,
70', Sekiguchi K. ↓, Wada T. ↑,
71', Kato Y. 🟨,
71', 1 - 3, Carlinhos ⚽, Eduardo (A),
73', Issaka Z. ↓, Yonekura K. ↑,
73', Taguchi T. ↓, Shinada M. ↑,
74', Carlinhos ↓, Goya H. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Eduardo ⚽,
82', Arthur Feitoza ↓, Nuki M. ↑,
84', 3 - 3, Himeno M. ⚽, Yonekura K. (A),
87', 4 - 3, Kawano T. ⚽,
88', Kojima M. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
89', Eduardo ↓, Mae T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 2.
JEF United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Omiya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
JEF United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, JEF United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
JEF United Chiba - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.61%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Wakahara T. (G) 
Eduardo 
Gonzalez F. 
