Match Info

J2 League - Round 38

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Yurtec Stadium Sendai (Sendai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Vegalta Sendai		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.35	4.15	Watch
	1.87	3.52	4.59
	1.87	3.89	3.57	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.28	Watch
	1.83	3.33	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.89)	3.48 ↓ (3.78)	4.2 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegalta Sendai
51.1%

Draw
26.7%

Iwaki
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

24.5%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vegalta Sendai - Iwaki Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vegalta Sendai will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Hayashi A. (G) 2. Takada R. 44. Inoue S. 5. Sugata M. 3. Okuyama M. 47. Araki S. 8. Takeda H. 10. Kamada H. 14. Sagara R. 9. Eron 11. Goke Y.	23. Sasaki M. (G) 4. Dohana K. 2. Ishida Y. 5. Shirai H. 32. Igarashi S. 19. Onishi Y. 27. Yamanaka A. 7. Ishiwatari N. 24. Yamashita Y. 38. Kumata N. 26. Sakamoto I.
Substitutes
1. Hotta D. (G) 42. Ishii H. 39. Ishio R. 59. Kobayashi K. 25. Mase T. 19. Mateus Moraes 6. Matsui R. 99. Miyazaki K. 48. Nakada Y.	35. Fukaminato S. 39. Joo H. (G) 15. Kase N. 16. Kato T. 28. Kim Hyun-woo 30. Shota K. 17. Yamada Y. 14. Yamaguchi D.
Coaches
Moriyama Y.	Tamura Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Okuyama M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Eron ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
59', Sagara R. 🟨,
60', Yamanaka A. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
60', Sakamoto I. ↓, Kim Hyun-woo ↑,
65', Okuyama M. ↓, Mase T. ↑,
66', Ishida Y. 🟨,
70', Dohana K. ↓, Fukaminato S. ↑,
76', Araki S. ↓, Matsui R. ↑,
76', Sagara R. ↓, Kobayashi K. ↑,
81', Onishi Y. ↓, Yamaguchi D. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Igarashi S. ⚽, Kase N. (A),
87', Kamada H. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 9).

Recent performances by Sendai have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Iwaki is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sendai is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sendai won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sendai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
23.11.25	Blaublitz Akita - Vegalta Sendai	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Vegalta Sendai - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Imabari - Vegalta Sendai	3:2 ✺
26.10.25	Vegalta Sendai - Sagan Tosu	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Oita Trinita - Vegalta Sendai	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLWT
- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
23.11.25	Iwaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Blaublitz Akita - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Iwaki - Fujieda MYFC	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Iwaki - Ehime	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.05.25	Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai	1:2
31.08.24	Vegalta Sendai - Iwaki	2:0
02.06.24	Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai	1:2
08.10.23	Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai	2:2
12.03.23	Vegalta Sendai - Iwaki	0:1

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