Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 1

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)


	Omiya Ardija		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.45	4.15	5.5	Watch
	1.58	3.76	5.68	Watch
	1.42	4.2	6.38	Watch
	1.45	4.25	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)	4.09 ↓ (4.47)	5.97 ↓ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
62.2%

Draw
22.4%

Matsumoto Yamaga
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.7%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Omiya Ardija - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Glover T. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 34. Murakami Y. 88. Nishio R. 13. Iyoha O. 16. Kato G. 7. Kojima M. 45. Yamamoto O. 14. Izumi T. 23. Sugimoto K. 90. Sunday O.	21. Tomizawa M. (G) 25. Shirai T. 43. Kaneko K. 16. Miyabe T. 20. Shibuya R. 2. Oda I. 8. Fukazawa Y. 41. Murakoshi K. 40. Higuchi D. 19. Tanaka S. 9. Kato T.
Substitutes
30. Arthur Feitoza 11. Caprini 20. Hidaka H. 1. Kasahara T. (G) 3. Kato H. 27. Matsui T. 22. Motegi R. 15. Nakayama K. 33. Wada T.	38. Fujieda K. 39. Inoue A. 23. Koma R. (G) 36. Matsumura G. 24. Ogawa D. 18. Ohashi H. 22. Saso K. 4. Takahashi S. 46. Yasunaga R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Yamamoto O. ⚽, Izumi T. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Sugimoto K. ⚽, Sunday O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shibuya R. ↓, Yasunaga R. ↑,
55', Yasunaga R. 🟨,
62', Tanaka S. ↓, Inoue A. ↑,
62', Kato T. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
65', Sunday O. ↓, Caprini ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Fujieda K. ⚽, Inoue A. (A),
77', Izumi T. ↓, Kato H. ↑,
77', Oda I. ↓, Saso K. ↑,
90+2', Yamamoto O. ↓, Matsui T. ↑,
90+4', Sekiguchi K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 2.

In this match, Omiya is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Omiya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Omiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
06.12.25	JEF United Chiba - Omiya Ardija	4:3 ✺
29.11.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Omiya Ardija	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Omiya Ardija - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Mito HollyHock - Omiya Ardija	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Omiya Ardija - Blaublitz Akita	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWW
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League
29.11.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Matsumoto Yamaga	6:2 ✺
16.11.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Kochi United - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1 ✺
05.11.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
07.09.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Omiya Ardija	0:1
06.05.24	Omiya Ardija - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:2
Japan J2 League
29.08.21	Omiya Ardija - Matsumoto Yamaga	4:0
19.06.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Omiya Ardija	0:0
21.10.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Omiya Ardija	1:1
25.07.20	Omiya Ardija - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0
25.07.18	Omiya Ardija - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2

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