Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 38

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.66	3.5	4.2
	1.72	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.74	4	4.59
	1.72	3.8	4.54	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.4
	1.69	3.78	4.45	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.74)	3.75 ↓ (3.82)	4.47 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
54.6%

Draw
24.7%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24.5%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

23.5%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Iwaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Iwaki will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tanaka K. (G) 40. Shimoda Y. 34. Omori R. 22. Ikoma J. 8. Shibata S. 15. Kase N. 24. Yamashita Y. 14. Yamaguchi D. 6. Sakagishi K. 10. Arima K. 17. Tanimura K.	21. Kushibiki M. (G) 5. Kawakami C. 34. Koyanagi T. 37. Sehata G. 36. Nakashio D. 9. Kitagawa S. 44. Semba T. 6. Amagasa T. 14. Kawamoto R. 40. Sagawa K. 7. Wada M.
Substitutes
11. Buwanika K. 32. Igarashi S. 20. Kato Y. 38. Kumata N. 19. Onishi Y. 23. Osako R. 21. Tachikawa K. (G)	42. Ishii R. (G) 28. Kabayama R. 32. Kawata A. 15. Kazama K. 3. Ohata R. 19. Saito S. 17. Yamanaka A.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Muto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Yamaguchi D. ⚽, Kase N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Nakashio D. 🟨,
60', Kase N. ↓, Igarashi S. ↑,
60', Sakagishi K. ↓, Osako R. ↑,
62', Kawamoto R. ↓, Yamanaka A. ↑,
62', Wada M. ↓, Kazama K. ↑,
62', Kitagawa S. ↓, Kabayama R. ↑,
71', Sagawa K. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
74', Shibata S. ↓, Onishi Y. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Yamaguchi D. ⚽, Yamashita Y. (A),
80', Kabayama R. 🟨,
85', Ikoma J. ↓, Kato Y. ↑,
85', Tanimura K. ↓, Kumata N. ↑,
85', Semba T. ↓, Saito S. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Arima K. ⚽, Kumata N. (A),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Thespakusatsu is Relegated to J3 League

Iwaki is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Thespakusatsu has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Iwaki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Iwaki is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Iwaki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Iwaki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
03.11.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Iwaki - Mito HollyHock	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Fagiano Okayama - Iwaki	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Fujieda MYFC - Iwaki	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Iwaki - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
03.11.24	Oita Trinita - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokushima Vortis	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	JEF United Chiba - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Roasso Kumamoto	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
18.05.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Iwaki	0:1
17.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Iwaki	1:0
16.04.23	Iwaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1

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