Match Info

J2 League - Round 30

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.57	Watch
	2.48	3.15	2.68
	2.65	3.34	2.77
	2.50	3.09	2.89	Watch
	2.61	3.26	2.63	Watch
	2.52	3.1	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 (2.55)	3.2 ↑ (3.16)	2.71 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
36.5%

Draw
29.1%

Mito HollyHock
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Iwaki - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Iwaki will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mito HollyHock (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Mito HollyHock (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Mito HollyHock (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Mito HollyHock (3.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Mito HollyHock (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Iwaki (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwaki (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Mito HollyHock (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 2. Ishida Y. 4. Dohana K. 35. Fukaminato S. 8. Shibata S. 32. Igarashi S. 19. Onishi Y. 24. Yamashita Y. 27. Yamanaka A. 38. Kumata N. 28. Kim Hyun-woo	34. Nishikawa K. (G) 6. Iida T. 36. Itakura K. 97. Takahashi T. 2. Omori S. 99. Kato C. 24. Yamazaki K. 3. Osaki K. 70. Arai M. 7. Watanabe A. 13. Aihara S.
Substitutes
22. Ikoma J. 39. Joo H. (G) 16. Kato T. 26. Sakamoto I. 30. Shota K. 25. Unoki F. 17. Yamada Y.	51. Haruna R. (G) 22. Kubo S. 15. Nagao Y. 27. Okita S. 44. Okuda K. 89. Sasaki K. 47. Semba T. 20. Umeda K. 39. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Mori N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Takahashi T. 🟨,
43', Ishida Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Watanabe A. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
46', Arai M. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
72', Yamashita Y. 🟨,
78', Kato C. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
78', Aihara S. ↓, Umeda K. ↑,
79', Kim Hyun-woo ↓, Kato T. ↑,
79', Yamanaka A. ↓, Unoki F. ↑,
86', Yamazaki K. ↓, Semba T. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Iwaki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mito HollyHock has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwaki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Iwaki - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
13.09.25	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	1:5 ✺
30.08.25	Imabari - Iwaki	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Iwaki - Oita Trinita	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Montedio Yamagata - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWLW
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
13.09.25	Vegalta Sendai - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Sagan Tosu - Mito HollyHock	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Mito HollyHock - Júbilo Iwata	1:3 ✺
10.08.25	Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
30.03.25	Mito HollyHock - Iwaki	4:1
26.10.24	Iwaki - Mito HollyHock	1:2
24.02.24	Mito HollyHock - Iwaki	1:0
09.07.23	Iwaki - Mito HollyHock	4:3
26.02.23	Mito HollyHock - Iwaki	2:2

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