Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 33

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4	Watch
	1.87	3.25	3.6
	1.95	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2	3.57	3.91
	1.98	3.36	3.81	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.6
	1.94	3.38	3.69	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.96)	3.36 ↓ (3.45)	3.73 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
47.6%

Draw
27.6%

Tochigi
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

27.4%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Iwaki - Tochigi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Iwaki will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Tochigi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Tachikawa K. (G) 27. Dohana K. 34. Omori R. 2. Ishida Y. 30. Sugiyama R. 8. Shibata S. 24. Yamashita Y. 7. Nishikawa J. 14. Yamaguchi D. 10. Arima K. 17. Tanimura K.	27. Tanno K. (G) 23. Fukushima H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 40. Takashima S. 10. Mori T. 22. Aoshima T. 4. Sato S. (C) 6. Omori S. 42. Minamino H. 19. Oshima K. 32. Miyazaki K.
Substitutes
11. Buwanika K. 5. Hayami S. 32. Igarashi S. 15. Kase N. 38. Kumata N. 40. Shimoda Y. 1. Tanaka K. (G)	17. Fujitani T. 16. Hyon R. 7. Ishida R. 1. Kawata S. (G) 38. Kobori S. 15. Okuda K. 29. Yano K.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Kobayashi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sugiyama R. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
56', Yamaguchi D. 🟨,
62', Oshima K. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
75', Nishikawa J. ↓, Kumata N. ↑,
77', Hiramatsu W. ↓, Fujitani T. ↑,
85', Miyazaki K. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
85', Aoshima T. ↓, Hyon R. ↑,
85', Mori T. ↓, Ishida R. ↑,
90', Kase N. ↓, Igarashi S. ↑,
90+5', Omori R. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Recent matches Iwaki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tochigi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Iwaki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Iwaki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Iwaki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
22.09.24	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Iwaki - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Kagoshima United - Iwaki	1:3 ✺
31.08.24	Vegalta Sendai - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Iwaki - Roasso Kumamoto	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL
- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
22.09.24	Tochigi - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	2:3 ✺
07.09.24	Fujieda MYFC - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tochigi	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Tochigi - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
28.04.24	Tochigi - Iwaki	0:1
05.07.23	Iwaki - Tochigi	1:0
23.04.23	Tochigi - Iwaki	1:0

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