Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 35

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Fagiano Okayama		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.7	Watch
	1.93	3.2	3.5
	1.95	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.09	3.48	3.89
	2.01	3.39	3.67	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	1.94	3.42	3.65	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.96)	3.37 ↓ (3.42)	3.64 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
47.1%

Draw
27.4%

Iwaki
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

27.2%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

28.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Fagiano Okayama - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Iwaki will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 43. Suzuki Y. 15. Motoyama H. 24. Fujita I. 14. Tabei R. 17. Sueyoshi R. 27. Kimura T. 19. Iwabuchi H. 22. Ichimi K.	21. Tachikawa K. (G) 27. Dohana K. 22. Ikoma J. 2. Ishida Y. 32. Igarashi S. 8. Shibata S. 14. Yamaguchi D. 24. Yamashita Y. 10. Arima K. 17. Tanimura K. 38. Kumata N.
Substitutes
1. Hotta D. (G) 33. Kamiya Yuta 99. Lucao 11. Ota R. 23. Saga R. 7. Takeuchi R. 5. Yanagi Y.	11. Buwanika K. 15. Kase N. 7. Nishikawa J. 34. Omori R. 19. Onishi Y. 18. Shirawachi K. 1. Tanaka K. (G)
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Tamura Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Kumata N. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Iwabuchi H. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Iwabuchi H. ⚽,
31', Ikoma J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shibata S. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
46', Ikoma J. ↓, Omori R. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Omori R. ⚽, Yamashita Y. (A),
60', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
64', Kumata N. ↓, Onishi Y. ↑,
70', Kimura T. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
70', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Ota R. ↑,
86', Arima K. ↓, Buwanika K. ↑,
89', Abe K. ↓, Saga R. ↑,
89', Tabei R. ↓, Yanagi Y. ↑,
89', Tanimura K. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Okayama will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Okayama won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
05.10.24	Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Mito HollyHock - Fagiano Okayama	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Fagiano Okayama - Ehime	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Fagiano Okayama - Blaublitz Akita	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTWL
- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
05.10.24	Fujieda MYFC - Iwaki	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Iwaki - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Iwaki - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Kagoshima United - Iwaki	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
02.03.24	Iwaki - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
03.09.23	Iwaki - Fagiano Okayama	1:2
02.04.23	Fagiano Okayama - Iwaki	1:1

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