Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Utebo		Izarra

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.55	3.7	5.4
	1.58	3.68	5.95
	1.57	3.72	5.5	Watch
	1.58	3.72	5.52
	1.55	3.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.37)	3.69 ↓ (4.5)	5.46 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utebo
58.5%

Draw
24.8%

Izarra
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.5%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

19.3%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utebo's form might have worsened.

Izarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utebo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Izarra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Utebo - Izarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Diaz Montes M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Frodo ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Frodo ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, Fustos D. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Utebo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Izarra has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Izarra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Utebo is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Utebo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Utebo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.11.24	Gernika - Utebo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Utebo - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:4 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.24	Utebo - UD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Alavés B - Utebo	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Utebo - Zaragoza B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWTW
- CD Izarra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.11.24	Izarra - Eibar B	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Tudelano - Izarra	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Izarra - Ejea	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Teruel - Izarra	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Gernika - Izarra	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.02.24	Utebo - Izarra	1:0
08.10.23	Izarra - Utebo	1:2
12.02.23	Izarra - Utebo	0:2
25.09.22	Utebo - Izarra	1:0

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