Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 11

Date: 8 June 2026, Monday

Location: Jarfallavallen (Jarfalla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Järfälla		Stocksund

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	4.00	3.70
	1.72	4.15	3.8	Watch
	1.76	4.18	3.71
	1.73	4.37	3.8	Watch
	1.7	3.75	3.7
	1.69	4.15	3.75	Watch
	1.51	4.28	4.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.51)	4.13 ↓ (4.33)	3.9 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Järfälla
54.4%

Draw
22.2%

Stocksund
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

21.2%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

20.4%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Järfälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Järfälla's form might have worsened.

Stocksund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stocksund's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Järfälla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksund than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stocksund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Järfälla - Stocksund Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Järfälla will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. von Feilitzen E. (G) 3. Akdemir N. 4. Aksoy Y. 17. Khalil A. 5. Mazanti Nyberg F. 8. Medhin T N. 24. Nisic K. 11. Ogestad O. 10. Portilla A. 27. Taylan M. E. 9. Wurtz A. (C)	1. Rhawi J. (G) 5. Boto D. 10. Engstrom K. 2. Floric A. 8. Johansson A. 6. Lager S. 7. Rauf Y. 144. Royo C. 3. Tesfai E. 9. Wagberg N. (C) 11. Wennerlind L.
Substitutes
19. Dahir K. 7. Fox C. 29. Hamidi A. 1. Liantas C. (G) 22. Moller O. 16. Sabery A. 15. Tinnborg H.	12. Badome S. 17. Hussein D. 19. Maache N. 14. Mihajlovic L. 18. Mumuni A. L. 15. Persson E. 16. Vogele M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
9', Aksoy Y. ↓, Moller O. ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Wurtz A. ⚽,
30', Taylan M. E. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Wagberg N. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Rauf Y. ⚽,
43', Boto D. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 3, Engstrom K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Taylan M. E. ↓, Hamidi A. ↑,
51', Tesfai E. 🟨,
54', 1 - 4, Rauf Y. ⚽,
58', Mazanti Nyberg F. ↓, Fox C. ↑,
58', Nisic K. ↓, Tinnborg H. ↑,
72', Wennerlind L. ↓, Badome S. ↑,
72', Boto D. ↓, Vogele M. ↑,
74', Wurtz A. ↓, Sabery A. ↑,
77', (Penalty Awarded),
78', Portilla A. 🟥,
79', Wagberg N. 🟥,
82', 1 - 5, Engstrom K. ⚽,
86', Engstrom K. ↓, Hussein D. ↑,
89', Hamidi A. 🟨,
90+1', Rauf Y. ↓, Maache N. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 6, Hussein D. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Järfälla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stocksund is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Järfälla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Järfälla is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Järfälla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 1.6:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Järfälla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 1.3:5.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Jarfalla	25	5	4	16	33:55	-22	19
16	Stocksund	25	3	6	16	45:61	-16	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.06.26	Vasalund - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Järfälla - Gefle	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Karlberg - Järfälla	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Järfälla - Enköping	0:3 ✺
09.05.26	FBK Karlstad - Järfälla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLL
- IFK Stocksund
Svenska Cupen
04.06.26	Stocksund - Stockholm Internazionale	0:1 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
31.05.26	Umeå - Stocksund	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Stocksund - Assyriska Föreningen	3:3 ✺
17.05.26	Stocksund - Piteå	2:3 ✺
14.05.26	Karlstad - Stocksund	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
29.06.22	Järfälla - Stocksund	1:3
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
22.06.22	Järfälla - Stocksund	1:6
09.04.22	Stocksund - Järfälla	2:1
08.09.21	Stocksund - Järfälla	2:3
04.08.21	Järfälla - Stocksund	2:7

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