Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 20

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Heino Lipp Stadium (Johvi)


	Jõhvi Phoenix		Maardu Linnameeskond

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.33	1.61
	4.15	4.45	1.55
	4.04	4.68	1.54
	4.15	4.79	1.56	Watch
	4.63	4.55	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (2.97)	4.56 ↑ (3.73)	1.55 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jõhvi Phoenix
21.9%

Draw
19.9%

Maardu Linnameeskond
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

24.3%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

24.1%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jõhvi Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jõhvi Phoenix's form might have worsened.

Maardu Linnameeskond has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maardu Linnameeskond's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jõhvi Phoenix than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jõhvi Phoenix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maardu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maardu Linnameeskond, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jõhvi Phoenix - Maardu Linnameeskond Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gusev V. (G) 2. Krupski A. 18. Kulikov D. 28. Friesen V. 24. Miskov M. 4. Martsuk N. 11. Shashkov I. 8. Zahharov J. (C) 99. Velikanov V. 7. Vrabie A. 9. Tsvibelberg G.	98. Jakovlev A. (G) 23. Tserezov M. 12. Volkov A. 27. Tjapkin D. 19. Kulinits A. (C) 8. Taar A. 15. Grigorjev A. 33. Volkov A. 26. Drabinko D. 17. Panchenko Y. 9. Utgof E.
Substitutes
66. Globenko A. (G) 5. Jakovlev M. 17. Juhkov M. 13. Karhanin S. 47. Kuzmenkov A. 77. Kuzmenkov N. 68. Radionov I. 10. Salmus A. 33. Tikhomirov A.	14. Eensalu M. 13. Lebedev D. 21. Naydis N. 35. Pjatajev D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 🟨,
17', 🟨,
32', 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Drabinko D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
79', 0 - 2, Taar A. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Jõhvi Phoenix is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Maardu Linnameeskond is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Jõhvi Phoenix has had a series of away games.

Maardu Linnameeskond is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jõhvi Phoenix won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Jõhvi Phoenix won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jõhvi FC Phoenix
Estonian Esiliiga B
12.07.25	Paide U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
06.07.25	Narva Trans U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	3:4 ✺
22.06.25	Kuressaare U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:4 ✺
19.06.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:4 ✺
01.06.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL
- Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga B
13.07.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United U21	3:2 ✺
05.07.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:6 ✺
28.06.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tabasalu	3:2 ✺
19.06.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Kuressaare U21	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Tartu Kalev - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
01.06.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:5
08.03.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:0

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